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1733 Senate of the Lakes election

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For IRL provisions of the election, click here.

An election for the Senate of the Lakes will take place during during the northern hemisphere summer of 1733. It is the first election to be held for the Senate since 1718.

Following the adoption of amendments to the Charter for the Order of the Holy Lakes, the Senate will, following the election, be:

  1. Increase the Senate from 20 seats to 28 seats.
  2. Create two classes of Senators:
    1. 14 permanent senators
    2. 14 elected senators.

This election would be for the electors of the Holy Lakes (i.e., the adult members of the Order) to elect 14 senators.

Electors and electoral system

See: List of Electors

In total, 1584 electors are eligible to vote.

Procedure

Couriers of the Order of the Holy Lakes (mainly esquires from the Hurmu Fyrð) make appointments to visit each elector at a place and time of choosing of the elector. The esquire brings a voting package, and invites the elector to vote in secret. The ballot is sealed in an envelope which the esquire will then bring home to the Palace of the Elenaran. The esquires are trained to protect the ballots with their life, though travel clandestinely with the ballot. The number of esquires for each ballot depends on the security situation in that particular place. Thus the election ends up being a rather exclusive and expensive affair.

Apportionment

Fourteen seats are filled by the election. All electors may vote for a participating list. Lists are apportioned seats by the following steps:

  • First, for each list, calculate the quotient (Q) from 14L divided by V where L is the total number of votes for that particular list, and V is the total number of valid votes in the election.
  • Second, for each list's Q, the whole number represents guaranteed seats for that list.
  • Third, calculate the number of guaranteed (g) seats so far. Then subtract that number from 14. The product represents the remaining seats to be filled (r).
  • Fourth, subtract the whole number from each participating list's Q, then order the products in descending order (p).
  • Fifth, for the first remaining seat, give to the list with the highest p, and for the second remaining seat, the next-highest p, and so on, until all r seats are filled.

If a list has fewer candidates than awarded seats, the "vacant" seats are distributed to the remaining lists, in the following procedure:

  • Allocate the seats to candidates in the list in question. This number is y.
  • The difference (d) of 14 – y is the number of seats to be allocated for the other lists.
  • Use the same procedure as usual (see above), with the difference of:
    • ignoring the first list (giving us the y number)
    • and the sum of all votes is for all other lists than the list giving us the y.

Participating lists

No changes can be made to the participating lists. Ballots are being printed...

Conservative List (C)

  1. Takashi Tonugawa
  2. Hiroto Tonugawa

Humanist List (CDH)

  1. Vahid al-Osman
  2. Meera Hakimi bint Alsalam
  3. Khoga Maral
  4. Valde Einhorn
  5. Avina Mira Avon-El
  6. Matilde Einhorn al-Osman Kåveland
  7. Daniel Koby
  8. Arnhöfði Einhorn Tarjeisson
  9. Javad Teymoori
  10. Rasoul Jahangiri
  11. Qaleem Kambarzahi
  12. Kambiz Shokoohi
  13. Javad al-Osman
  14. Iraj al-Osman


Manifesto

  • Crime and public order
    • Increase manpower of the Hurmu Constabulary by 40,000.
    • Enforcement of ‘zero tolerance’ policing
    • Review of Constabulary senior leadership
    • Automatic life imprisonment for violent offenders.
    • High intensity training camps for young offenders.
  • Defence and security
    • Introduce incentives and tax breaks to boost the defence industry in Hurmu. Improve equipment self-sufficiency and manufacture world class products for export.
    • Balance defence and technology acquisitions from Çakaristan and the Raspur Pact in order to preserve strategic autonomy in the near-term.
    • Expand the Sea Department and Air Department of the Hurmu Fyrð by the introduction of new long range patrol and interdiction capabilities.
    • Investment in the development of a layered air defence network for the majority population centres and industrial hubs of the realms of Hurmu.
    • A policy of forward patrolling should be adopted with regards to the border between the realms of Hurmu and the Green of Eura. Assemblies of unlawful combatants, especially those engaged in hostilities with our neighbours should be struck wherever they are discerned.
    • Proactive measures should be implemented to establish conditions of security and good order on the eastern frontiers of Amaland and Karnamark.
  • Economy
    • Reduce corporation tax.
    • Scrap business rates for small and medium firms.
    • Raise VAT threshold.
    • Small, modular nuclear reactors, built in Hurmu.
    • Domestic lithium mining to reduce overseas dependence on electric batteries.
    • Agricultural and fisheries subsidies to reinvigorate languishing sectors.
    • A coastal fund similar to a sovereign wealth fund to be launched, and foreign supertrawlers banned.
    • Streamlined process for issuing permits for forestry and mining operations.
    • Acceleration of the issuance process for oil and gas exploration licences.
  • Education
    • Tax relief for private selective education schools.
    • Parental supervision boards to monitor teaching in schools, empowered to recommend dismissal of teachers who fall short of professional standards or who provide lessons contrary to the Brida and proper morality.
  • Foreign Affairs
    • Withdrawal from the ineffective XC.
    • Closer cooperation with the Raspur Pact.
    • Condemnation of the brutal Shirerithian suppression of home rule on Sathrati.
    • The accession of new realms should be avoided. The Holy Order should not allow itself to become a compendium of partially digested nations. The more we induct, the greater the risk of the community of realms being poisoned by instances of state failure.
  • Human Supremacy
    • The Brida is a sacred document, whose boons are meant for those in whom the human condition is manifested. For those in whom degrees of recognisable affinity and kinship can be recognised, such as Mondo, pragmatic exceptions can be made, but this must be made on a case by case basis by competent authorities mindful of the need to uphold the Human Supremacy in every instance, as the single highest goal.

United Ayreonist–Traditionalist List

  1. Ingrid Djupvik
  2. Hans Schafenweide
  3. Malliki Castanucci Nur Pinito
  4. Velibor Jovanović-Smičić
  5. Lystasia Steerswick
  6. Malachi Wythe al-Osman de la Gardie
  7. Enhei Ayreon-Kalirion
  8. Ganbaataryn Serchmaa
  9. Mikhail Maksimilianov-Shvinnskiy
  10. Catherine Wythe
  11. Satō Shu
  12. Asmila Avon-El
  13. Linus Matildanai Kaaq
  14. Đorđe Babić

Manifesto

  • Foreign affairs:
  • Border control:
    • Avoid borders with the Green (see Ayreonist greenism).
    • Annex the Green to avoid borders with the Green, in collaboration with regional partners.
  • Realm expansion
    • Any polity wishing to join the Order of the Holy Lakes as a realm should, if meeting the necessary criteria, be allowed to join as a realm.
    • Polities must to have some affinity with Hurmu or the Order in one way or another, e.g., history, culture, language, genealogy, etc.
  • Defence and security
    • Vanicism and Bassaridism are incompatible with the Brida. All actions related to these ideologies should emanate from this principle.
    • The Fyrð's defence capabilities should increase.
    • Military and civil service to be equal in dignity and compulsory for all 18-year-olds for two years.
  • Sentient rights:
    • Humans are equal in dignity and value as other species of sapience and language, and should be afforded similar rights in law
    • LGBTQI rights need to be advanced in all parts of Hurmu in an equal manner and codified in super-realm law.

Verionist List

  1. Jacob Utherion Lewis
  2. Deiniol (Daniel) Verion de Montford
  3. Juan Enrique de Asturia y Verion
  4. Samuel u-Malik
  5. Legolas Verion
  6. Anduriël ab Eathel
  7. Sirithil, Lady Laegel
  8. Malik Knuutsgaarð
  9. Rania Lucius
  10. Kolman Sarj
  11. Mari Verion de Montfort
  12. Johannes Knuutsgaarð
  13. Martiina Kreek
  14. Kristofer u-Malik

Manifesto

  • Centralized Hurmu ruled directly by the Order of the Holy Lakes
  • End to the legislative autonomy of the realms
  • Critical of Raspur Pact
  • Support of Calbion
  • Laissez-faire, deregulated capitalism throughout Hurmu, but where the Order of the Holy Lakes may charter companies for various purposes.
  • Free trade with all countries and with the green.
  • Acknowledgement of Hurmu's Shirerithian/Elwynnese/Benacian history

Projections

It is notoriously hard conducting opinion polls for such a special group as the membership of the Order of the Holy Lakes. However, attempts have been made based on straw samples and analysis of previous electoral patterns.

10.I.1733

Published in the Times of Huyenkula.


P. E. T.
U 3 5 8
H 4 4 8
C 2 4 6
P 2 0 2
V 0 1 1
X 3 0 3

20.III.1733

  • U: 36%
  • H: 29%
  • C: 26%
  • V: 7%

Results

See also: IRL results

Turnout

N (1733) Percentage (1733) Diff (n, 1733–1719) Diff (%p, 1733–1719)
Electors 1584 +377
Ballots cast (Turnout) 1230 77.65% +68 -18.62
Of which valid 1227 99.76% +67 -0.07
Of which abstentions 3 0.24% +1 0.07

List vote

Votes Diff (votes) Percentage Diff (%p) Seats
United Ayreonist–Traditionalist List 571 +86 46.54% +4.73 6
Humanist List 517 +138 42.14 % +9.47 6
Conservative List 74 -187 6.03 % -16.47 1
Verionist List 65 +30 5.30 % +2.28 1

Elected

Marked in bold are those who are elected to the Senate. Those marked in italics are alternates, who can take charge of the seat in case of absence, resignation, expulsion, or death of a senator.

United Ayreonist–Traditionalist List

  1. Ingrid Djupvik (elected, new)
  2. Hans Schafenweide (elected, new)
  3. Malliki Castanucci Nur Pinito (elected, new)
  4. Velibor Jovanović-Smičić (elected, new)
  5. Lystasia Steerswick (elected, new)
  6. Malachi Wythe al-Osman de la Gardie (elected, new)
  7. Enhei Ayreon-Kalirion (first alternate)
  8. Ganbaataryn Serchmaa (second alternate)
  9. Mikhail Maksimilianov-Shvinnskiy (third alternate)
  10. Catherine Wythe
  11. Satō Shu
  12. Asmila Avon-El
  13. Linus Matildanai Kaaq
  14. Đorđe Babić

Humanist List

  1. Vahid al-Osman (elected, new)
  2. Meera Hakimi bint Alsalam (elected, new)
  3. Khoga Maral (elected, new)
  4. Valde Einhorn (elected, new)
  5. Avina Mira Avon-El (elected, new)
  6. Matilde Einhorn al-Osman Kåveland (elected, new)
  7. Daniel Koby (first alternate€)
  8. Arnhöfði Einhorn Tarjeisson (second alternate)
  9. Javad Teymoori (third alternate)
  10. Rasoul Jahangiri
  11. Qaleem Kambarzahi
  12. Kambiz Shokoohi
  13. Javad al-Osman
  14. Iraj al-Osman

Conservative List

  1. Tonugawa Takashi (elected, new)
  2. Tonugawa Hiroto (first alternate)

Verionist List

  1. Jacob Utherion Lewis (elected, new)
  2. Deiniol (Daniel) Verion de Montford (deceased)
  3. Juan Enrique de Asturia y Verion (first alternate)
  4. Samuel u-Malik (second alternate)
  5. Legolas Verion (third alternate)
  6. Anduriël ab Eathel
  7. Sirithil, Lady Laegel
  8. Malik Knuutsgaarð
  9. Rania Lucius
  10. Kolman Sarj
  11. Mari Verion de Montfort
  12. Johannes Knuutsgaarð
  13. Martiina Kreek
  14. Kristofer u-Malik

Deiniol (Daniel) Verion de Montford had died just before the counting of votes. As such, in the allocation of elects and alternates, his name is skipped.

Composition of the 13th Senate

The Thirteenth Senate will thus be composed of 28 senators, of which 14 will be elected and 14 permanent (named in the Charter):

Faction Permanent Elected Total
Ayreonist–Traditionalist 6 6 12
Humanist 4 6 10
Conservative 2 1 3
Phineonesian 2 0 2
Verionist 0 1 1
Total 14 14 28

Commentary