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New Alexandrian general election, 1698

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New Alexandrian general election, 1698
Nouvelle Alexandrie flag.png
1693 ←
15.XV.1698 AN
→ 1703

All 619 seats to the Federal Assembly
310 seats needed for a majority.
  First party Second party Third party
  Seydlitz.jpg RobertBeaujolais.jpg IwashiiwaKazuemon.png
Leader Gerhardt Eugen Seydlitz Robert Beaujolais Iwashiiwa Kazuemon
Party Federal Humanist Party Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance Digger's Society
Leader since 1697 AN 1694 AN 1693 AN
Leader's seat Isles of Caputia Alduria Alduria
Last election 296, 47.5% 146, 23.6% 15, 2.8%
Seats won 344 234 15
Seat change 48 88 None
Popular vote 51,848,707 35,597,571 2,418,941
Percentage 56.6% 38.9% 2.6%
Swing 9.1 pp 15.3 pp 0.2 pp

Fourth party Fifth party
 
RufusWahlberg.png
Leader Rufus Wahlberg
Party Freedom Party Independent
Leader since 1697 AN
Leader's seat Alduria
Seats won 5 21
Popular vote 1,694,874 3,330,395
Percentage 1.9% 3.6%

President of the Government before election

Augustus Strong (FHP)

Succeeding President of the Government

Gerhardt Eugen Seydlitz (FHP)

The New Alexandrian general election of 1698 is the second general election of the Federation of Nouvelle Alexandrie after its formation in 1685 AN. The 1698 general election was held from 13.XV.1698 AN to 15.XV.1698 AN, in line with the Proclamation of Punta Santiago and the laws of Nouvelle Alexandrie. With 91,560,093 votes cast, the election had a 62.5% turnout, lower than the 1693 general election.

The election resulted in the Federal Humanist Party securing a majority in the Federal Assembly of 34 seats. The Federal Humanist Party made a net gain of 48 seats and won 56.6% of the popular vote – the highest percentage for any party since the creation of the Federation in 1675 AN.

The election took place across all ten Regions, each with its own number of seats based on population, under proportional representation.

Background

At the end of the 1693 general election, the death of Marcel de la Croix and the pronounced disruption this caused on the process of forming a government led to the Federal Humanist Party,Cambio Democrático, and the Digger's Society forming a Government of National Unity. Soon after the assassination of de la Croix and just several hours before the deadline to form a government passed, Augustus Strong, leader of the Federal Humanist Party and formateur, announced that agreement on a unity government had been reached. The deal would involve the two largest parties sharing power, with Strong and Santiago Etienne of Cambio Democrático taking turns being President and Vice-President of the Government. Both would exchange roles every AN year, with Strong beginning the rotation.

In 1697 AN, changes to the active status registration of several political parties that maintained caucuses in the Federal Assembly resulted in the dissolution of several parties, including the second largest party and a member of the Government of National Unity, Cambio Democrático. This resulted in Deputies that were members of Cambio Democrático to defect to either the Federal Humanist Party, the successor to the Progressive Federalist Party, the Solidarity Party, or to the successor of Cambio Democrático, the Progressive Party. This required the Government of National Unity to reconstitute, this time, replacing Cambio Democrático with the Solidarity Party.

In the lead up to the general election, negotiations between the Solidarity Party and the Progressive Party led to the founding of a new party, the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance (SD&LA). The negotiations were slow and acrimonious at first, but the advance in the polls of the Federal Humanist Party and its successes in Operation Paramount and other policy matters prompted both parties to come to an agreement to form a broad big tent coalition of the left in order to be able to compete.

Dates of the election

The deadline for final candidate nominations was set for 11.III.1698 AN with political campaigning to last until the first polling day in 13.XV.1698 AN. The election was conducted over a period of three days, from 13.XV.1698 AN to 15.XV.1698 AN. Results were counted and published by the National Elections Commission on 16.XV.1698 AN. The three day period of the election was allowed in order to ensure that remote rural and insular areas could have some time to send their results, as well as to allow postal ballots to arrive to their destinations. This was the first election where New Alexandrians were allowed to vote by mail by going to their local polling station, confirming their identity, and picking up a ballot.

Eligibility to vote

Individuals eligible to vote had to be registered to vote by midnight on 10.XV.1698 AN, three days before the first day of polling. This was to allow the National Elections Commission system to electronically confirm the updates to the voter's rolls, confirmed with local and tax records for correct addresses and identities.

To be eligible to vote, individuals were required to be aged 18 or over, be a national of the Federation, and have been a resident in the Region they planned to vote in for at least six months prior to registration.

Opinion polling

Polling Firm Date FHP SDL&A DS FP Ind MoE
Institute of Public Opinion 13.1698 AN 60% 36% 1% 0% 3% ± 3%

Electoral system

Elections in Nouvelle Alexandrie are conducted region by region through proportional representation. Voters then choose from the parties on the ballot or have the option to vote for a slate of independent candidates. Seats are apportioned to each region using the Sainte-Laguë method, a highest quotient method for allocating seats in party-list proportional representation. In Nouvelle Alexandrie, the thresholds for a party to get seats in a region is set to 2%. This election would be the last election where seats would be apportioned in accordance to the census conducted in 1693 AN, just before the 1693 general election.

Regional seat apportionment

Region Seats Population (1693 AN) % of Seats
Alduria 147 51,213,951 23.7%
Wechua Nation 138 48,208,871 22.2%
Santander 86 30,328,420 13.8%
Valencia 28 9,816,476 4.5%
Federal Capital District 2 712,987 0.3%
Isles of Caputia 61 21,321,762 9.8%
North Lyrica 61 21,291,128 9.8%
South Lyrica 65 22,987,652 10.5%
New Luthoria 19 6,812,981 3.0%
Islas de la Libertad 12 4,198,319 1.9%
Totals 619 216,892,547 100%

Campaigns

The Federal Humanist Party and the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance were the two largest political parties heading into the general election. They were both part of the previous Government of National Unity, the latter joining after the dissolution of Cambio Democrático and the national political realignment of 1697 AN. Out of the two, only the Federal Humanist Party has occupied the position of largest party in the Cortes Federales and also occupied the positions of President and Vice-President of the Government.

In 1697 AN, the National Elections Commission announced that, due to inactivity of its leaders and party membership, Cambio Democrático was losing official recognition as a political party, leading to the dissolution of its parliamentary caucus organization. This led to a national political realignment and changes to the composition of the 1st Cortes Federales. In the 1693 general election, Cambio Democrático had secured 162 seats and served as the second largest political party in the Cortes Federales. After its dissolution, the Cambio Democrático delegation started to either join another political party or remain independent. Four Deputies defected to the Federal Humanist Party, 65 Deputies defected to the Solidarity Party, with 16 Deputies remaining unaligned. The 61 remaining Deputies decided to create their own political party, intended as a successor to Cambio Democrático, called the Progressive Party.

Leading up to the 1698 AN general election, however, a movement called "Unite the Left" came into being when it became clear that neither of the two parties, the Solidarity Party and the Progressive Party, were independently capable of defeating the rising Federal Humanist Party. The objective of the movement was to merge the two parties into a single party (or, if this was not possible, to find a power-sharing arrangement between the two parties). Leaders and party members of both parties negotiated for several weeks and announced their merger and joint candidacy lists two days before candidacies closed for the 1698 general election with the formation of the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance with Robert Beaujolais serving as its first leader.

Candidates

Most candidates are representatives of a political party, which must be registered with the National Elections Commmission and maintain regular activity and participation in politics. Those who do not belong to one must use the label "Independent" or none.

In the 1698 AN election 2,948 candidates stood: 472 of them being independents, the rest representing one of four national political parties.

Contesting Parties

Federal Humanist Campaign

Social Democratic & Liberal Campaign

Digger's Society Campaign

Freedom Party Campaign

Results

National

|
 344   234   15 
 3 
 21 
 FHPFhp Icon.png(344)  SDLASolidarityPartyNAXLogo.png(234)  DSDs icon.png(15)
 FPFreedomPartyLogo.png(3)
 Ind. (21)
Political party Leader Candidates Votes Elected Gain/loss % of votes % of seats
Federal Humanist Party Gerhardt Eugen Seydlitz 619 51,848,707 344 48 seats 56.6% 55.5%
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance Robert Beaujolais 619 35,597,571 234 72 seats 38.9% 37.8%
Digger's Society Iwashiiwa Kazuemon 619 2,418,941 15 No gain/loss 2.4% 2.6%
Freedom Party Rufus Walberg 619 1,694,874 5 2 seats 0.8% 1.9%
Independent 472 3,330,395 21 21 seats 3.6% 3.3%
Total 2,948 91,560,093 619 Turnout 62.5%

Regional

Alduria

Region of Alduria
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 11,486,631 51.3% 75
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 9,238,174 41.2% 61
Digger's Society 717,354 3.2% 5
Independent/Unaligned 493,181 2.2% 3
Freedom Party 470,764 2.1% 3
Totals 22,406,104 100.0% 147

Wechua Nation

Region of the Wechua Nation
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 10,574,172 50.1% 71
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 8,323,047 39.5% 55
Independent/Unaligned 1,181,472 5.6% 8
Digger's Society 632,931 3.0% 4
Freedom Party 379,759 1.8% 0
Totals 21,091,381 100.0% 138

Santander

Region of Santander
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 6,800,234 51.3% 45
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 5,194,402 39.1% 34
Independent/Unaligned 769,738 5.8% 5
Digger's Society 278,698 2.1% 2
Freedom Party 225,613 1.7% 0
Totals 13,268,685 100.0% 86

Valencia

Region of Valencia
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 2,142,415 49.9% 14
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 1,727,075 40.2% 11
Independent/Unaligned 201,871 4.7% 1
Digger's Society 120,264 2.8% 1
Freedom Party 103,083 2.4% 1
Totals 4,294,708 100.0% 28

Federal Capital District

Federal Capital District
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 161,893 51.9% 1
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 132,571 42.5% 1
Digger's Society 12,789 4.1% 0
Freedom Party 4,679 1.5% 0
Totals 311,932 100.0% 2

Isles of Caputia

Region of the Isles of Caputia
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 5,867,618 62.9% 39
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 2,947,342 31.6% 20
Digger's Society 223,990 2.4% 2
Independent/Unaligned 177,326 1.9% 0
Freedom Party 111,995 1.2% 0
Totals 9,328,271 100.0% 61

New Luthoria

Region of New Luthoria
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 1,568,354 52.6% 10
Federal Humanist Party 1,328,507 44.6% 9
Digger's Society 45,132 1.5% 0
Freedom Party 38,685 1.3% 0
Totals 2,980,678 100.0% 19

Islas de la Libertad

Region of Islas de la Libertad
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 920,772 50.1% 6
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 757,201 41.2% 5
Independent/Unaligned 94,466 5.1% 1
Digger's Society 42,271 2.3% 0
Freedom Party 22,054 1.2% 0
Totals 1,836,764 100.0% 12

North Lyrica

Region of North Lyrica
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 6,894,262 74.0% 46
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 2,008,393 21.6% 13
Freedom Party 217,557 2.3% 1
Digger's Society 194,656 2.1% 1
Totals 9,314,868 100.0% 61

South Lyrica

Region of South Lyrica
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 5,672,203 56.4% 38
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 3,701,012 36.8% 24
Digger's Society 150,856 1.5% 0
Freedom Party 120,685 1.2% 0
Totals 9,314,868 100.0% 65

Analysis

Notable results

Post-election government formation

See also