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New Alexandrian general election, 1708

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New Alexandrian general election, 1708
Nouvelle Alexandrie flag.png
1703 ←
13.XI.1708 AN
→ 1713

All 619 seats to the Federal Assembly
310 seats needed for a majority.
  First party Second party Third party
  Nadya-c-albert1.png 1704-Almagro-NAX.png YuriACNationalAddress.png
Leader Nadya Camille Albert Felipe de Almagro Yuri Allcca Canchasto
Party Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance Federal Humanist Party Federal Consensus Party
Leader since 1708 AN 1703 AN 1703 AN
Leader's seat Alduria Alduria Wechua Nation
Last election 309, 49.8% 289, 46.8% 3 seats, new party.
Seats won 206 346 63
Seat change 103 57 60
Popular vote 29,294,165 49,756,890 8,898,041
Percentage 32.8% 55.7% 10.0%
Swing 17 pp 8.9 pp 9 pp

Fourth party Fifth party
  Libertarian-leader-nax-1708.png
Leader Adriana Lopez-Gautier
Party People's Liberty Congress Independent
Leader since 1708 AN
Leader's seat Federal Capital District
Last election New party. 14, 2.6%
Seats won 3 19
Seat change 3 5
Popular vote 1,347,717 3,203,095
Percentage 1.5% 3.6%
Swing 1.5 pp (New party) 1.0 pp

President of the Government before election

Jose Miguel Martin (SDLA)

Succeeding President of the Government

Felipe de Almagro (FHP)

The New Alexandrian general election of 1708 is the fourth general election of the Federation of Nouvelle Alexandrie after its formation in 1685 AN. The 1708 general election was held from 13.XI.1708 AN to 15.XV.1708 AN, in line with the Proclamation of Punta Santiago and the laws of Nouvelle Alexandrie. The next general election was originally scheduled for 1709 AN, but the failure of the vote of confidence of the government of Jose Miguel Martin in the Cortes Federales. The 1708 election saw 89,296,813 votes cast, a turnout rate of 52.3%. This registered as one of the lowest turnout levels of any general election in the history of the Federation.

Opinion polls had consistently shown the Federal Humanist Party leading the polls over the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance (SDLA). The Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance dealt with several changes of leadership after the resignation of Premier Julio Delgado due to health issues. Vice-Premier Itzar Franco, the first woman Premier of the Federation, succeeded Julia Delgado. She resigned later the same year she was appointed and confirmed by the Cortes Federales, 1706 AN. Jose Miguel Martin succeeded Franco as leader and Premier. The successive changes in leadership weakened the coalition the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance and the Moderate Caucus. Jose Miguel Martin lost the vote of confidence after the Moderate Caucus declined to support the coalition, forcing Martin to ask King Manco Capac I for a dissolution and a new election. He resigned as leader soon after, succeeded by Nadya Camille Albert.

The 1708 election also saw a large political realignment, with the small Moderate Caucus, originally a coalition of three independent Deputies elected in 1703 AN, growing to 10.0% of the popular vote and 63 seats in the Federal Assembly after it rebranded as the Federal Consensus Party of Nouvelle Alexandrie. The Federal Consensus benefitted from the weak position of the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance after several leadership changes and stalled legislative agenda. A new libertarian party, the People's Liberty Congress secured 1.5% of the vote and 3 seats. The independent benches grew slightly, also benefiting from the steep polling losses of the Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance, to 19 seats and 3.6% of the vote. Two parties, the Freedom Party and the Digger's Society were dissolved and did not field candidates in the election, due to inactivity and campaign finance corruption charges.

Background

The New Alexandrian general election of 1708 was called by King Manco Capac I, at the request of caretaker Premier Jose Miguel Martin, after Martin lost his government's vote of confidence in the Federal Assembly by a narrow vote. The constant leadership changes had infuriated Martin's small but powerful coalition partner, the Moderate Caucus. Led by Yuri Allcca Canchasto, who had served as caretaker Premier briefly until Martin rose to the role, Canchasto instructed his caucus and other independents in the Federal Assembly to vote against the government. The SDLA-Moderate coalition government cobbled together by Julio Delgado and Yuri Allcca Canchasto in the "Spirit of 1703" fell, 310-309.

The Federal Humanist Party capitalized on the constant leadership changes and the slow response of the SDLA-Moderate coalition government to mounting economic difficulties, the Great Vanic Revolt, and other political challenges. After the resignation of Jose Miguel Martin from the leadership of the SDLA, the party's chief executive committee named Nadya Camille Albert as interim leader. She was later confirmed as the next leader of the party at the party's first convention since the dissolution of the third Federal Assembly.

In the lead-up to the general election, two political parties missed important deadlines to file public fundraising reports and a renewal of their electoral franchise (party registration): the Digger's Society and the Freedom Party. These party dissolved and did not participate in the general election by fielding candidates.

The collapse of two key small political parties led to a national political realignment. The Moderate Caucus rebranded as the Federal Consensus Party, trailing a radical centrist, left-of-center, progressive path heavily influenced by Aldricism and the Natopian Free Juice and Bagels Party.

Electoral system

Elections in Nouvelle Alexandrie are conducted region by region through proportional representation. Voters then choose from the parties on the ballot or have the option to vote for a slate of independent candidates. Seats are apportioned to each region using the Sainte-Laguë method, a highest quotient method for allocating seats in party-list proportional representation. In Nouvelle Alexandrie, the thresholds for a party to get seats in a region is set to 2%. This election would be the last election where seats would be apportioned in accordance to the census conducted in 1708 AN, just before the general election.

The 1708 election saw the seat count of the Federal Assembly increase for the first time since the formation of the Federation, from 619 seats to 637 seats. If one party obtains a majority of the seats, then the party is entitled to form the government, with its leader as President of the Government. If an election results n no party having a majority, there is a hung Cortes Federales, at which time the main options are the formation of a coalition of several parties or a minority government, in accordance with the law.

Voting eligibility

To vote in the general election, one had to be:

  • legally registered to vote;
  • a citizen of the Federation (at the time of the election);
  • not legally excluded from voting as provided by New Alexandrian law.

Government figures report that 1,234,981 new voters were added to the rolls across the country in the weeks leading up to the general election.

Census of 1708 and redistricting

Region Seats (1703 AN) Seats (1708 AN) Change
Alduria 145 153 +8
Wechua Nation 137 142 +5
Santander 91 94 +3
Valencia 27 26 -1
Federal Capital District 2 2 0
North Lyrica 60 60 0
South Lyrica 69 72 +3
Islas de la Libertad 12 12 0
New Luthoria 17 17 0
Isles of Caputia 59 59 0

Opinion Polling

Polling
Firm
MoE Date FHP SDLA MC FCP Ind. PLC
IOP ±4% 1.II.1708 AN 51.2% 38.6% 8.3% XX 1.9% XX
IOP ±4% 12.X.1708 AN 52% 34% XX 9% 3% 2%
IOP ±4% 12.XII.1708 AN 56.5% 30.1% XX 10.2% 1.9% 1.3%

Contesting Parties

The Digger's Society and the Freedom Party both lost their electoral franchise and legal registration after it failed to file for its renewal and failed to file legally required fundraising information and figures. The parties made no effort to field candidates or support any candidates during the general election.

The parties that contested the New Alexandrian general election were:

Federal Humanist Party Campaign

Social Democratic & Liberal Campaign

Federal Consensus Party Campaign

People's Liberty Congress Campaign

Candidates

Most candidates are representatives of a political party, which must be registered with the Federal Elections Commmission and maintain regular activity and participation in politics. Those who do not belong to one must use the label "Independent" or none.

In the 1708 AN election X,XXX candidates stood: XXX of them being independents, the rest representing one of four national political parties.

Results

National

|
 346   206   63 
 3 
 19 
 FHPFhp Icon.png(346)  SDLASolidarityPartyNAXLogo.png(206)  FCPFedCon-NAX.png(63)
 PLCPLCLogo-NAX.png(3)
 Ind. (19)
Political party Leader Candidates Votes Elected Gain/loss % of votes % of seats
Federal Humanist Party Felipe de Almagro 637 49,756,890 346 57 seats 55.7% 54.3%
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance Nadya Camille Albert 637 29,294,165 206 103 seats 32.8% 32.3%
Federal Consensus Party Yuri Allcca Canchasto 637 8,898,041 63 60 10.0% 9.8%
People's Liberty Congress Adriana Lopez Gautier 637 1,347,717 3 New party. 1.5% 0.4%
Independent 637 3,203,095 19 5 seats 3.6% 2.9%
Total 3,185 89,296,813 637 Turnout 51.2%

Regional

Alduria

Region of Alduria

Party Votes Vote %

Deputies

Federal Humanist Party 11,697,821 52.9% 81
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 6,557,501 29.7% 46
Federal Consensus Party 2,750,348 12.4% 19
Independent/Unaligned 641,158 2.9% 4
People's Liberty Congress 464,287 2.1% 3
Totals 22,111,115 100.0% 153

Wechua Nation

Region of the Wechua Nation
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 10,235,667 49.9% 72
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 7,209,113 35.1% 51
Federal Consensus Party 1,794,578 8.7% 13
Independent/Unaligned 923,982 4.5% 6
People's Liberty Congress 369,593 1.8% 0
Totals 20,532,933 100.0% 142

Santander

Region of Santander
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 8,500,080 62.1% 59
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 3,314,101 24.2% 23
Federal Consensus Party 875,733 6.4% 6
Independent/Unaligned 848,366 6.2% 6
People's Liberty Congress 225,613 1.1% 0
Totals 13,688,797 100.0% 94

Valencia

Region of Valencia
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 1,790,481 45.9% 12
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 1,599,969 41.0% 11
Federal Consensus Party 427,121 10.9% 3
People's Liberty Congress 57,113 1.5% 0
Independent/Unaligned 28,556 0.7% 0
Totals 3,903,240 100.0% 26

Federal Capital District

Federal Capital District
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 140,504 50.1% 1
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 111,708 39.8% 1
Federal Consensus Party 12,337 4.4% 0
Independent/Unaligned 13,178 4.7% 0
People's Liberty Congress 2,692 1.0% 0
Totals 280,419 100.0% 2

Isles of Caputia

Region of the Isles of Caputia
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 5,094,511 59.5% 35
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 2,725,011 31.8% 19
Federal Consensus Party 402,627 4.7% 3
Independent/Unaligned 308,395 3.6% 2
People's Liberty Congress 34,266 0.4% 0
Totals 8,564,810 100.0% 59

North Lyrica

Region of North Lyrica
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 5,083,096 58.4% 36
Federal Consensus Party 1,837,681 21.1% 13
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 1,595,836 18.3% 11
Independent/Unaligned 156,030 1.8% 0
People's Liberty Congress 26,005 0.3% 0
Totals 8,698,648 100.0% 60

South Lyrica

Region of South Lyrica
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 5,234,109 49.9% 37
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 4,325,883 41.2% 31
Federal Consensus Party 548,085 5.2% 4
People's Liberty Congress 199,495 1.9% 0
Independent/Unaligned 188,995 1.8% 0
Totals 10,496,567 100.0% 72

New Luthoria

Region of New Luthoria
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 1,191,510 47.8% 8
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 1,142,694 45.9% 8
Federal Consensus Party 107,096 4.3% 1
People's Liberty Congress 29,887 1.2% 0
Independent/Unaligned 19,925 0.8% 0
Totals 2,491,112 100.0% 17

Islas de la Libertad

Region of Islas de la Libertad
Party Votes Vote % Deputies
Federal Humanist Party 789,111 45.6% 5
Social Democratic & Liberal Alliance 712,349 41.1% 5
Federal Consensus Party 142,435 8.2% 1
Independent/Unaligned 74,510 4.3% 1
People's Liberty Congress 13,862 0.8% 0
Totals 1,732,267 100.0% 12

Analysis

A victory for the Federal Humanist Party was never in real doubt, despite the random surges of support in polls during the campaign that showed SDLA coming close to their lead. The surprise, however, did come in the electoral landslide, which wiped out the SDLA from government and from all regional governments and legislatures. Even in Regions that were considered favorable to the Social Democrats (like South Lyrica, New Luthoria, Valencia, and the Wechua Nation), the SDLA suffered steep losses. For the first time in decades, the SDLA did not control any of the regional governments of Nouvelle Alexandrie.

The election results gave the Federal Humanist Party a majority ample enough to form a government outright, with Felipe de Almagro as Premier and Gerhardt Eugen Seydlitz as Vice-Premier.

See also