1st National Assembly of Klaasiya elections: Difference between revisions

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The campaign of 1693 was largely conducted in an atmosphere of discontent and resentment across the general public of Klaasiya. A poll conducted by the [[National Association of Pollsters]] found that 73% of Klaasiyans were ''critical'' or ''deepy critical'' of the collapse of government that had preceded the new Constitution and elections. The [[Democratic Party (Klaasiya)|Democratic Party]], releasing its manifesto in its [[Borders Bay]] stronghold, campaigned on its record in governance some 10-13 years ago, which was largely seen as a successful period during the construction of the 2nd Democratic Era. The Nationalist & Humanist Party of Klaasiya, rebranded from the old Republicans under [[Under Saryaan]], ran a difficult campaign, failing to explain Klaasiya's demise under their rule, and often stumbling and creating gaffes. The former Governor Saryaan himself issued a "complete and unequivocal apology over our role in the government collapse", while other prominent party members fought the assumption that it is their government's conduct that caused the troubles.  
The campaign of 1693 was largely conducted in an atmosphere of discontent and resentment across the general public of Klaasiya. A poll conducted by the [[National Association of Pollsters]] found that 73% of Klaasiyans were ''critical'' or ''deepy critical'' of the collapse of government that had preceded the new Constitution and elections. The [[Democratic Party (Klaasiya)|Democratic Party]], releasing its manifesto in its [[Borders Bay]] stronghold, campaigned on its record in governance some 10-13 years ago, which was largely seen as a successful period during the construction of the 2nd Democratic Era.
[[File:NH-1693.jpg|left|thumb|The Nationalist & Humanist Party's sticker for the 1693 campaign.]]
The Nationalist & Humanist Party of Klaasiya, rebranded from the old Republicans under [[Under Saryaan]], ran a difficult campaign, failing to explain Klaasiya's demise under their rule, and often stumbling and creating gaffes. The former Governor Saryaan himself issued a "complete and unequivocal apology over our role in the government collapse", while other prominent party members fought the assumption that it is their government's conduct that caused the troubles.  
[[File:FJBP-1693.jpg|thumb|The Free Juice and Bagels Party popular 3-point election pledges]]This prompted Saryaan to have to explain there are "differing streams of thought" within the party, which was unable to achieve any rise in the polls following those remarks in early 1693.
[[File:FJBP-1693.jpg|thumb|The Free Juice and Bagels Party popular 3-point election pledges]]This prompted Saryaan to have to explain there are "differing streams of thought" within the party, which was unable to achieve any rise in the polls following those remarks in early 1693.


Within days of the [[Free Juice and Bagels Party]]'s 3-point election leaflet publication, the tone of the campaign shifted towards the party's increasingly popular promises. Polls consistently showed improvements for the FJBP's support among the electorate, amid the Nationalist & Humanist Party's internal conflicts. The 1693 campaign marked the first instance in which Geroika Sunoak, a former Democratic Progressive now leading the FJBP, openly discussed the prospect of running for the Klaasiyan Presidency and governing "alongside a strong FJBP-led National Assembly".
The smaller Tapferite Supremacist Party and Workers' Parties United did not feature broadly in the 1693 election, with neither of them ever polling consistently over the 10% mark. Nevertheless, this was the first election in which TSP candidates were on the ballot in over 20 years, which some pollsters contributed to the radicalisation of the Loyalist League's more moderate stances during the Second Democratic Era.
== Opinion Polling ==
In the weeks and days leading up to the election, several pollsters conducted opinion polls on the parties' relative strengths and popularity.
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Date
!Pollster
!Sample
size
!WPU
!DP
!FJBP
!N&H
!TSP
!Others
!Lead
|-
|3-4 Novaber
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|6.8%
|29.3%
|25.8%
|24.1%
|9.5%
|4.5%
|'''3.5%'''
|-
|10-12 Novaber
|National Association of Pollsters
|998
|7.4%
|28.4%
|24.3%
|26.0%
|7.4%
|6.5%
|'''2.4%'''
|-
|15-19 Novaber
|Democratic Party Pollsters
|774
|10.4%
|30.1%
|27.4%
|22.6%
|7.4%
|2.1%
|'''2.7%'''
|-
|1-3 Liebluary
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|7.5%
|26.6%
|26.2%
|24.0%
|8.9%
|6.8%
|'''0.4%'''
|-
|15-17 Liebluary
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|8.1%
|29.6%
|27.5%
|21.4%
|7.0%
|6.4%
|'''2.1%'''
|-
|22-23 Liebluary
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|6.4%
|25.3%
|31.8%
|24.1%
|8.1%
|4.3%
|'''6.5%'''
|-
|7-8 Grunil
|National Association of Pollsters
|998
|7.1%
|27.1%
|30.2%
|23.4%
|6.2%
|6.0%
|'''3.1%'''
|-
|10-12 Grunil
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|8.2%
|24.1%
|32.9%
|25.9%
|3.5%
|5.4%
|'''7.0%'''
|-
|20-21 Grunil
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|9.6%
|26.1%
|31.0%
|24.0%
|5.9%
|3.4%
|'''4.9%'''
|-
|4-5 Regnuary
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|7.4%
|22.5%
|33.2%
|23.2%
|7.2%
|6.5%
|'''10.0%'''
|-
|10-12 Regnuary
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|5.8%
|25.8%
|35.2%
|19.7%
|10.1%
|3.4%
|'''9.4%'''
|-
|19-20 Regnuary
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|8.9%
|27.3%
|32.7%
|17.6%
|8.1%
|5.4%
|'''5.4%'''
|-
|8-9 Blumuar
|National Association of Pollsters
|998
|6.2%
|26.5%
|34.2%
|20.6%
|7.6%
|4.9%
|7.7%
|-
|18-19 Blumuar
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|7.0%
|29.1%
|31.6%
|22.2%
|6.1%
|4.0%
|2.5%
|-
|5 Sonnuber
EXIT POLL
|National Association of Pollsters
|1,094
|9.1%
|30.0%
|36.8%
|16.5%
|7.1%
|0.5%
|6.8%
|-
|5 Sonnuber
EXIT POLL
|The New Reporter Poll
|1,040
|8.4%
|28.1%
|34.2%
|18.6%
|9.7%
|1.0%
|6.1%
|-
!Result
!
!
!6.3%
!27.3%
!39.8%
!18.6%
!6.0%
!0.7%
!12.5%
|}
[[Category:Klaasiya]]
[[Category:Klaasiya]]
[[Category:Natopia]]
[[Category:Natopia]]
[[Category:Natopian elections]]
[[Category:Natopian elections]]
[[Category:Klaasiya elections]]
[[Category:Klaasiya elections]]

Revision as of 16:39, 28 February 2021

The 1693 elections for the 1st National Assembly of Klaasiya were the first elections to be held in Klaasiya since the collapse of the second democratic era, and the first elections to be held since the 1983 Northern Klaasiyan elections for the House of Deputies. The election was held between {{ TBA }} and {{ TBA }} to elect 100 members of the National Assembly.

Election campaign

As a result of the newly passed Constitution and reorganisation of government, most political parties since the second democratic era were rebranded to a varying degree.

Reorganizations of political parties between the 1st & 2nd Democratic Eras of Klaasiya
2st Democratic Era Party Name 3nd Democratic Era Party Name Footnotes
Democratic Party Democratic Party While the party continued to exist, sizeable chunks of it split off to the Workers' Parties United

and the Free Juice and Bagels Party. A proportion of those defections were offset by the

Liberal Party's merger into the new Democratic Party.

National Bovic Party Free Juice and Bagels Party (Klaasiya)
Centre Party Disbanded
Liberal Party Democratic Party The liberals, finding it harder to compete for seats in a much smaller legislature, and fearful of

splitting the centre-left and liberal vote, disbanded their party, merging into the Democratic party.

Republican Party Nationalist & Humanist Party
Loyalist League Tapferite Supremacist Party
Did not exist Workers' Parties United

The campaign of 1693 was largely conducted in an atmosphere of discontent and resentment across the general public of Klaasiya. A poll conducted by the National Association of Pollsters found that 73% of Klaasiyans were critical or deepy critical of the collapse of government that had preceded the new Constitution and elections. The Democratic Party, releasing its manifesto in its Borders Bay stronghold, campaigned on its record in governance some 10-13 years ago, which was largely seen as a successful period during the construction of the 2nd Democratic Era.

The Nationalist & Humanist Party's sticker for the 1693 campaign.

The Nationalist & Humanist Party of Klaasiya, rebranded from the old Republicans under Under Saryaan, ran a difficult campaign, failing to explain Klaasiya's demise under their rule, and often stumbling and creating gaffes. The former Governor Saryaan himself issued a "complete and unequivocal apology over our role in the government collapse", while other prominent party members fought the assumption that it is their government's conduct that caused the troubles.

The Free Juice and Bagels Party popular 3-point election pledges

This prompted Saryaan to have to explain there are "differing streams of thought" within the party, which was unable to achieve any rise in the polls following those remarks in early 1693.

Within days of the Free Juice and Bagels Party's 3-point election leaflet publication, the tone of the campaign shifted towards the party's increasingly popular promises. Polls consistently showed improvements for the FJBP's support among the electorate, amid the Nationalist & Humanist Party's internal conflicts. The 1693 campaign marked the first instance in which Geroika Sunoak, a former Democratic Progressive now leading the FJBP, openly discussed the prospect of running for the Klaasiyan Presidency and governing "alongside a strong FJBP-led National Assembly".

The smaller Tapferite Supremacist Party and Workers' Parties United did not feature broadly in the 1693 election, with neither of them ever polling consistently over the 10% mark. Nevertheless, this was the first election in which TSP candidates were on the ballot in over 20 years, which some pollsters contributed to the radicalisation of the Loyalist League's more moderate stances during the Second Democratic Era.

Opinion Polling

In the weeks and days leading up to the election, several pollsters conducted opinion polls on the parties' relative strengths and popularity.

Date Pollster Sample

size

WPU DP FJBP N&H TSP Others Lead
3-4 Novaber National Association of Pollsters 1,094 6.8% 29.3% 25.8% 24.1% 9.5% 4.5% 3.5%
10-12 Novaber National Association of Pollsters 998 7.4% 28.4% 24.3% 26.0% 7.4% 6.5% 2.4%
15-19 Novaber Democratic Party Pollsters 774 10.4% 30.1% 27.4% 22.6% 7.4% 2.1% 2.7%
1-3 Liebluary National Association of Pollsters 1,094 7.5% 26.6% 26.2% 24.0% 8.9% 6.8% 0.4%
15-17 Liebluary National Association of Pollsters 1,094 8.1% 29.6% 27.5% 21.4% 7.0% 6.4% 2.1%
22-23 Liebluary The New Reporter Poll 1,040 6.4% 25.3% 31.8% 24.1% 8.1% 4.3% 6.5%
7-8 Grunil National Association of Pollsters 998 7.1% 27.1% 30.2% 23.4% 6.2% 6.0% 3.1%
10-12 Grunil The New Reporter Poll 1,040 8.2% 24.1% 32.9% 25.9% 3.5% 5.4% 7.0%
20-21 Grunil The New Reporter Poll 1,040 9.6% 26.1% 31.0% 24.0% 5.9% 3.4% 4.9%
4-5 Regnuary National Association of Pollsters 1,094 7.4% 22.5% 33.2% 23.2% 7.2% 6.5% 10.0%
10-12 Regnuary The New Reporter Poll 1,040 5.8% 25.8% 35.2% 19.7% 10.1% 3.4% 9.4%
19-20 Regnuary National Association of Pollsters 1,094 8.9% 27.3% 32.7% 17.6% 8.1% 5.4% 5.4%
8-9 Blumuar National Association of Pollsters 998 6.2% 26.5% 34.2% 20.6% 7.6% 4.9% 7.7%
18-19 Blumuar The New Reporter Poll 1,040 7.0% 29.1% 31.6% 22.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.5%
5 Sonnuber

EXIT POLL

National Association of Pollsters 1,094 9.1% 30.0% 36.8% 16.5% 7.1% 0.5% 6.8%
5 Sonnuber

EXIT POLL

The New Reporter Poll 1,040 8.4% 28.1% 34.2% 18.6% 9.7% 1.0% 6.1%
Result 6.3% 27.3% 39.8% 18.6% 6.0% 0.7% 12.5%