Sanaman Civil War/metrics

Each month every section of government controlled territory has a non-zero chance of an uprising. Chance of uprising is calculated according to the following:

1. Is the section adjacent to rebel controlled territory?
2. Is the adjacent rebel controlled territory expanding or contracting?
3. Is the adjacent rebel entity DPR, HN or Democratic?
4. Assign near-to-arbitrary value
5. Roll

Each battle, assault and defence during the Sanaman Civil War consists of five stages. Each stage consist of these elements:

1. Assign possibilities to each element
2. Possible uprising (only for militias)
3. Possible defection (only for government)
   1. Size of defection
4. Result of action (win, loss, stalemate)
5. Size of victory or defeat
6. Mark change in territory
7. Assign losses

Each government base has a non-zero risk of defection every month.

1. Proximity to rebel controlled area
2. Add probability for Sani or Ama territory
3. Assign defection probabilities (full, partial, none)
   1. Partial results in battle