Module:StraitsDaily
From MicrasWiki
Documentation for this module may be created at Module:StraitsDaily/doc
-- Module: StraitsDaily
-- Purpose: Daily, in-world report of Strait of Haifa enforcement [[Straits Conventions of 52.06 PSSC]]
local p = {}
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (A) PSSC DATE
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function getPSSCDate()
local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
local secondsInDay = 86400
local daysPerYear = 183
local now = os.time()
local totalDaysElapsed = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)
local yearFraction = totalDaysElapsed / daysPerYear
local psscYear = math.floor(yearFraction)
local dayOfYear = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1
local month, dayOfMonth
if dayOfYear <= 61 then
month = 1; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear
elseif dayOfYear <= 122 then
month = 2; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 61
else
month = 3; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 122
end
local dateString = string.format("%d/%d/%d PSSC", dayOfMonth, month, psscYear)
return { text = dateString, year = psscYear, dayOfYear = dayOfYear }
end
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B) STATIC DATA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectors = {
"Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
"Archipelago Zone","Sacred Buffer Approaches","Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS"
}
local flags = {
{name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
{name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
{name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=true},
{name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=true},
{name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
{name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
{name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Corumia", weight=3, risky=true},
{name="Diaspora Stakeholders- South Keltiania", weight=3, risky=true},
{name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
{name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}
}
local vessels = {
"Handymax bulker","Product tanker","General cargo ship","Container feeder",
"Ro-Ro ferry","Research craft","Declared submarine","Undeclared submarine"
}
local cargoTypes = {
{name="Medical reagents (dual-use precursors)", weight=3, risk=0.14, dual=true},
{name="Industrial oxidizers / nitrates (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.16, dual=true},
{name="Precision machine tools & CNC spares (dual-use)", weight=3, risk=0.15, dual=true},
{name="Encrypted electronics & comms modules (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.17, dual=true},
{name="Satellite components / sensors (dual-use)", weight=1, risk=0.18, dual=true},
{name="Industrial fasteners (coded)", weight=2, risk=0.12, dual=true},
{name="Hydraulic lubricants (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.13, dual=true},
{name="High-frequency alloys (coded)", weight=1, risk=0.14, dual=true},
{name="Aviation fuels & additives", weight=3, risk=0.12, dual=false},
{name="Refined petroleum products", weight=4, risk=0.08, dual=false},
{name="Relief supplies (mixed pallets)", weight=5, risk=0.06, dual=false},
{name="Agricultural commodities", weight=5, risk=0.04, dual=false},
{name="Finished consumer goods", weight=6, risk=0.03, dual=false}
}
local cargoTags = {
{name="standard", weight=6, risk=0.00},
{name="expedited", weight=3, risk=0.05},
{name="emergency", weight=2, risk=0.07},
{name="perishable",weight=2, risk=0.06}
}
local partnerProfiles = {
{code="P-07", weight=4, risk=0.00, recentLift=false},
{code="P-12", weight=3, risk=0.03, recentLift=false},
{code="P-17", weight=3, risk=0.12, recentLift=true},
{code="P-22", weight=3, risk=0.14, recentLift=true},
{code="P-31", weight=3, risk=0.05, recentLift=false},
{code="P-38", weight=2, risk=0.10, recentLift=false},
{code="P-44", weight=4, risk=0.02, recentLift=false},
{code="P-53", weight=3, risk=0.04, recentLift=false}
}
-- Corum districts (match MissionaryDaily "Zones")
local corumDistricts = {
{name="Lyvian Zones", kind="NZ"},
{name="Lucinarian Zones", kind="NZ"},
{name="Brentonian Zones", kind="NZ"},
{name="Ossyani Zones", kind="NZ"},
{name="Sinclarian Zones", kind="GM"},
{name="Nortonian Zones", kind="GM"},
{name="Wallisian Zones", kind="GM"},
{name="Alindan Zones", kind="GM"},
{name="Aijiac Zones", kind="GM"},
}
local districtKindByName = {}
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end
-- White-Lane corridors tied to districts
local wlCorridors = {
{ code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1100", kind="NZ",
districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
{ code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0900–1300", kind="GM",
districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
{ code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–1800", kind="Mixed",
districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
}
local observers = {
"Neutral temple auditor","Independent port compliance inspector",
"Community elder (witness)","Straits Convention monitor (civilian)"
}
local wl03Signers = {
["Matamoros (IF)"] = false, -- M-AMBER until pledge signed
["Imperial Federation"] = false, -- adjust if needed
["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
["Neutral Merchant"] = true,
["Moorland"] = true,
["Independent Coastal State"] = true
}
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) HELPERS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function pick(list) return list[math.random(#list)] end
local function pickWeighted(list)
local total = 0
for _, item in ipairs(list) do total = total + (item.weight or 1) end
local roll, cumul = math.random(total), 0
for _, item in ipairs(list) do
cumul = cumul + (item.weight or 1)
if roll <= cumul then return item end
end
return list[#list]
end
-- WL eligibility (Annex G) + WL-03 participation + 90-day cooldown
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end
local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)
local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
if signed == nil then signed = true end
local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
if not baseEligible then
return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
elseif not signed then
return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)"
elseif cooling then
return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)"
else
return true, "WL-03 compliant"
end
end
-- Legal basis per Conventions
local function legalBasis(sector, wl, wl03note)
if wl then
return "Art III.5 (White-Lane); Annex G; Art X.3 (expedited remedies); HCE Circular WL-03 (" .. wl03note .. ")"
end
if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
return "Art III.2.3 (Sacred quiet zones); Annex A (delims); Art VII; Annex D"
end
return "Art IV.1–1.2 (PSC); Annex F (SCT/SAC procedures)"
end
-- Appeals column
local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
if wl then
local relief = 0.60
if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.12 end
if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.15 end
local r = math.random()
local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
or (r <= relief) and "expedited with conditions"
or "conditions imposed"
return string.format("HCE Review → SCT (72h) → SAC (≤5d) — %s (Art X.3; Annex G; WL-03 liaison)", outcome)
else
local level = (sector=="Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector=="Environmental Buffer") and "SAC Referral"
or ((math.random()<0.5) and "SCT Admin Review" or "PSC reconciliation")
local outcome = (level=="PSC reconciliation") and "notice acknowledged"
or ((math.random()<0.5) and "clearance granted" or "conditions imposed")
local cite = (level=="SAC Referral") and "Annex F (SAC)" or "Annex F (SCT)"
return string.format("%s — %s (%s)", level, outcome, cite)
end
end
-- HCE reference for WL notes
local function hceRef(dateInfo, corridor)
return string.format("HCE-%03d.%03d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, corridor.code)
end
-- Pick a served district for a corridor and annotate with kind
local function pickServedDistrict(corr)
local dname = corr.districts[math.random(#corr.districts)]
local kind = districtKindByName[dname] or "NZ"
return dname, kind
end
-- Row color based on outcome/notes
local function rowColor(outcome, notes, wlEligible)
local o = outcome:lower()
local n = (notes or ""):lower()
-- RED: clear compliance problems / holds / denials / impounds
if o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound")
or n:match("extended regulatory review") then
return ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"' -- red
end
-- YELLOW: variant/administrative conditions, WL-ineligible processed under standard PSC, reconciliation/monitoring
if o:match("administrative notice")
or o:match("monitoring")
or o:match("conditions")
or o:match("reconciliation")
or n:match("wl%-ineligible")
or n:match("risk tag: m%-amber") then
return ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"' -- yellow
end
-- GREEN: clean / cleared
return ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"' -- green
end
-- Build a human-readable list of triggers for transparency column
local function buildTriggers(flag, sector, cargo, tag, partner, wlEligible, wl03note, riskPush, policyStage)
local t = {}
if flag.risky then table.insert(t, "risky flag") end
if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
table.insert(t, "sacred/ecology buffer")
end
if cargo and cargo.dual then table.insert(t, "dual-use cargo") end
if cargo and (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then table.insert(t, "cargo risk ≥0.12") end
if tag and tag.name ~= "standard" then table.insert(t, "non-standard tag: "..tag.name) end
if partner and (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then table.insert(t, "partner risk ≥0.09") end
if wlEligible then table.insert(t, "WL pre-cleared") end
if wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 unsigned (M-AMBER)") end
if wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 cooldown") end
if policyStage and policyStage > 0 then
table.insert(t, "policy stage "..policyStage)
end
if riskPush and riskPush >= 2 then table.insert(t, "multi-trigger escalation") end
if #t == 0 then return "none" end
return table.concat(t, "; ")
end
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (D) MAIN GENERATION
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
function p.makeTable(frame)
local dateInfo = getPSSCDate()
math.randomseed(dateInfo.year*1000 + dateInfo.dayOfYear)
local rows = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 18
local policyStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
local showLegend = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"
local out = {}
table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers !! Notes")
for i = 1, rows do
local sector = pick(sectors)
local flag = pickWeighted(flags)
local vessel = pick(vessels)
local cargo = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
local tag = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
local partner = pickWeighted(partnerProfiles)
local wlOK, wl03note = wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
local wlEligible = wlOK
local corridor = wlEligible and wlCorridors[math.random(#wlCorridors)] or nil
local obs = wlEligible and observers[math.random(#observers)] or nil
-- Base enforcement probability
local function baseProb()
local q = 0.28
if flag.risky then q = q + 0.06 end
if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.03 end
q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.06, 0.10) end
-- Graduated, non-sanction scrutiny on IF/Matamoros (non-WL rows):
local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
if (isIF or isMT) and not wlEligible then
if policyStage >= 1 then q = q + 0.04 end -- Stage I: audit emphasis
if policyStage >= 2 then q = q + 0.04 end -- Stage II: surcharge advisory (total +0.08)
-- Stage III denial logic handled below after riskPush evaluation
end
-- Existing M-AMBER effect for WL-03 unsigned (applies to any flag set that way)
if flag.name:match("Matamoros") and wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then
q = q + 0.08
end
-- Bassaridian-flag high compliance
if flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" then
q = q - 0.18
if wlEligible then q = q - 0.04 end
if q < 0.02 then q = 0.02 end
if q > 0.08 then q = 0.08 end
end
return math.min(q, 0.72)
end
local enforce = baseProb()
local action, legal, outcome, notes, appealCol
local dname, dkind
if wlEligible then
dname, dkind = pickServedDistrict(corridor)
action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
legal = legalBasis(sector, true, wl03note)
notes = string.format(
"WL %s (%s) | window %s | District: %s [%s] | Observer: %s | %s | Cargo: %s [%s]; Partner: %s | WL-03: %s",
corridor.code, corridor.name, corridor.win, dname, dkind, (obs or "n/a"),
hceRef(dateInfo, corridor), cargo.name, tag.name, partner.code, wl03note
)
else
action = (wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
and "WL-ineligible: standard PSC applied"
or "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
legal = legalBasis(sector, false, wl03note)
local advisory = ""
local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
if (isIF or isMT) and policyStage >= 1 then
advisory = " | Audit emphasis (Stage I)"
if policyStage >= 2 then advisory = advisory .. " | Market surcharge advisory (Stage II)" end
end
local mAmber = (flag.name:match("Matamoros") and wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)") and " | Risk tag: M-AMBER" or ""
notes = string.format("Cargo: %s [%s]; Partner: %s | WL-03: %s%s%s",
cargo.name, tag.name, partner.code, wl03note, mAmber, advisory)
end
-- Compute enforcement result
local riskPush = 0
if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
if cargo.dual or (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
if tag.name ~= "standard" then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
if (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end
if math.random() > enforce then
outcome = wlEligible and "Cleared WL window" or "No reports"
appealCol = wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
else
outcome = wlEligible and "WL reconciliation check; monitoring" or "Administrative notice issued; monitoring"
if riskPush >= 2 and math.random() < 0.65 then
outcome = (wlEligible and "WL hold; clearance pending expedited review" or "Random audit hold; clearance pending")
if flag.name == "Imperial Federation" or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then
outcome = outcome .. " [Extended regulatory review]"
end
end
-- Stage III: limited denial logic for IF/Matamoros non-WL rows at high risk
local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
if policyStage >= 3 and (isIF or isMT) and not wlEligible and riskPush >= 2 then
outcome = "Denial of passage (policy Stage III)"
appealCol = "SCT injunction eligible | Appeals Case pending"
end
-- Bassaridian-flag safeguard
if flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" and outcome:match("hold") then
outcome = wlEligible and "WL reconciliation complete; cleared same window" or "Administrative reconciliation complete; cleared"
appealCol = wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
end
appealCol = appealCol or appealsStatus(sector, wlEligible, tag, cargo)
end
-- Transparency fields
local caseId = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, i)
local triggers = buildTriggers(flag, sector, cargo, tag, partner, wlEligible, wl03note, riskPush, policyStage)
-- If there is any reviewable action, bind an appeals case stub
if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
appealCol = appealCol .. ("Appeals Case: APP-" .. caseId)
end
-- Color-code the row and output
local style = (function()
local o = outcome:lower()
local n = (notes or ""):lower()
if o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or n:match("extended regulatory review") then
return ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"' -- red
end
if o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation")
or n:match("wl%-ineligible") or n:match("risk tag: m%-amber") or n:match("surcharge advisory") then
return ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"' -- yellow
end
return ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"' -- green
end)()
table.insert(out, "|-" .. style)
table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
dateInfo.text, sector, vessel, flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers, notes))
end
table.insert(out, "|}")
if showLegend then
table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.5em; font-size:90%;'>")
table.insert(out, "<b>Legend:</b> ")
table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#d4edda;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #c3e6cb;'>Green</span> = Cleared/Compliant ")
table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#fff3cd;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #ffeeba;'>Yellow</span> = Administrative/Conditional/Monitoring ")
table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#f8d7da;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #f5c6cb;'>Red</span> = Hold/Denial/Extended Review")
table.insert(out, "<br/><i>Policy Stage:</i> I = Audit emphasis; II = +Market surcharge advisory; III = limited denial on high-risk, non-WL rows.")
table.insert(out, "</div>")
end
return table.concat(out, "\n")
end
return p
