Module:StraitsDaily: Difference between revisions

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local function getPSSCDate()
local function getPSSCDate()
     local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
     local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
     local secondsInDay = 86400
     local secondsInDay = 86400
     local daysPerYear = 183
     local daysPerYear   = 183
     local now = os.time()
     local now           = os.time()
     local totalDaysElapsed = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)
     local totalDays    = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)


     local yearFraction = totalDaysElapsed / daysPerYear
     local yearFraction = totalDays / daysPerYear
     local psscYear     = math.floor(yearFraction)
     local psscYear     = math.floor(yearFraction)
     local dayOfYear   = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1
     local dayOfYear     = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1


     local month, dayOfMonth
     local month, dayOfMonth
Line 36: Line 36:
local sectors = {
local sectors = {
     "Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
     "Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
     "Archipelago Zone","Sacred Buffer Approaches","Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS"
     "Archipelago Zone Inbound", "Archipelago Zone Outbound", "Sacred Buffer Approaches",
    "Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS",
    "Northern Sea of Storms","Western Sea of Storms","Southern Sea of Storms",
}
}


Line 42: Line 44:
     {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
     {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
     {name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
     {name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
     {name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=true},
     {name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=false},
     {name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=true},
     {name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=false},
     {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
     {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
     {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
     {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
Line 50: Line 52:
     {name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
     {name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
     {name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}
     {name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}
}
}


Line 91: Line 94:
}
}


-- Corum districts (match MissionaryDaily "Zones")
-- Corum districts (for WL district annotations)
local corumDistricts = {
local corumDistricts = {
     {name="Lyvian Zones",    kind="NZ"},
     {name="Lyvian Zones",    kind="NZ"},
Line 106: Line 109:
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end


-- WL corridors (labels/windows)
local wlCorridors = {
local wlCorridors = {
     { code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1100", kind="NZ",
     { code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1800 (expanded)", kind="NZ",
       districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
       districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
     { code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0900–1300", kind="GM",
     { code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0800–1900 (expanded)", kind="GM",
       districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
       districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
     { code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–1800", kind="Mixed",
     { code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–2000 (expanded)", kind="Mixed",
       districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
       districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
}
}
Line 121: Line 125:


local wl03Signers = {
local wl03Signers = {
     ["Matamoros (IF)"] = false,
     ["Matamoros (IF)"] = true,
     ["Imperial Federation"] = true,
     ["Imperial Federation"] = true,
     ["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
     ["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
Line 130: Line 134:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B2) PUBLIC HEALTH: DISEASES (same canon)
-- (B1.5) SECTOR RULES (allow/block flags and/or vessels per sector)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectorRules = {
    ["Northern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
        -- vessels = { allow = { ["Research craft"]=true } }, -- optional example
    },
    ["Western Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
    ["Southern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
}
 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B2) PUBLIC HEALTH (<=10% rows)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local phDiseases = {
local phDiseases = {
Line 151: Line 171:
for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do phIndex[d.code] = d end
for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do phIndex[d.code] = d end


-- Score + candidate (no side effects). Returns score, code, text or 0,nil,nil
local function phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
local function phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
     local score = 0
     local score = 0
     local cname = cargo and cargo.name or ""
     local cname = cargo and cargo.name or ""
     local tname = tag and tag.name or "standard"
     local tname = tag and tag.name or "standard"
    -- geography
     if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches"
     if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches"
       or sector:find("Strait") or sector:find("Approach") then score = score + 1 end
       or sector:find("Strait") or sector:find("Approach") then score = score + 1 end
    -- food/water hygiene
     if cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable" then score = score + 2 end
     if cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable" then score = score + 2 end
     if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then score = score + 1 end
     if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then score = score + 1 end
    -- solvents/oxidizers/fuels
     if cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels") then score = score + 2 end
     if cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels") then score = score + 2 end
    -- crowd ferries
     if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then score = score + 2 end
     if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then score = score + 2 end
    -- partner/flag
     if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then score = score + 1 end
     if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then score = score + 1 end
     if flag and flag.risky then score = score + 0.5 end
     if flag and flag.risky then score = score + 0.5 end
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         return score, d.code, (d.code .. " ("..d.name.."): " .. d.controls)
         return score, d.code, (d.code .. " ("..d.name.."): " .. d.controls)
     end
     end
     if score >= 5 then return pick("WP") end                 -- rare escalation
     if score >= 5 then return pick("WP") end
     if (cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable") then return pick("SY") end
     if (cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable") then return pick("SY") end
     if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then return pick("PF") end
     if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then return pick("PF") end
     if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector:find("Strait") then return pick("TR") end
     if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector:find("Strait") then return pick("TR") end
     if sector == "Archipelago Zone" then return pick("HS") end
     if sector:find("Archipelago Zone") then return pick("HS") end -- matches Inbound/Outbound
     if (cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels")) then return pick("CC") end
     if (cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels")) then return pick("CC") end
     if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then return pick("FB") end
     if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then return pick("FB") end
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) POLICY STAGES
-- (C) POLICY STAGES (per flag)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local stageMap = {
local stageMap = {
     ["Imperial Federation"] = 1,
     ["Imperial Federation"] = 1,
     ["Matamoros (IF)"]      = 3,
     ["Matamoros (IF)"]      = 1,
}
}
local function getFlagStage(flagName, globalStage)
local function getFlagStage(flagName, globalStage)
Line 213: Line 227:
end
end


-- Filter helpers (respect sectorRules; safe fallback if empty)
local function isAllowedByRule(ruleTbl, key)
    if not ruleTbl then return true end
    if ruleTbl.allow then return ruleTbl.allow[key] == true end
    if ruleTbl.block then return ruleTbl.block[key] ~= true end
    return true
end
local function flagAllowedInSector(sector, flagName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.flags, flagName)
end
local function vesselAllowedInSector(sector, vesselName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.vessels, vesselName)
end
local function pickWeightedFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pickWeighted(list) end
    return pickWeighted(filtered)
end
local function pickFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pick(list) end
    return pick(filtered)
end
-- FULL WL expansion switch
local fullWL = true
-- WL eligibility (expanded)
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
     if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end
     if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end
    local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
    local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
    local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)


     local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
     local disqualify = false
     if signed == nil then signed = true end
     if cargo.dual then disqualify = true end
     local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
     if flag and flag.name == "Matamoros (IF)" and not wl03Signers["Matamoros (IF)"] then disqualify = true end


     if not baseEligible then
     if disqualify then
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
        if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
         return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
         return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
     elseif not signed then
     end
        return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)"
 
     elseif cooling then
     if fullWL then
         return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)"
         return true, "WL-03 compliant"
     else
     else
        local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
        local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
        local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]; if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not baseEligible then return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag" end
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
         return true, "WL-03 compliant"
         return true, "WL-03 compliant"
     end
     end
Line 249: Line 309:
local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
     if wl then
     if wl then
         local relief = 0.60
         local relief = 0.70
         if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.12 end
         if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.10 end
         if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.15 end
         if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.20 end
         local r = math.random()
         local r = math.random()
         local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
         local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
Line 297: Line 357:


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (E) MAIN GENERATION (now two-pass to cap PH at 10%)
-- (E) MAIN GENERATION (PH <=10%; no Notes column)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
function p.makeTable(frame)
function p.makeTable(frame)
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     math.randomseed(dailySeed)
     math.randomseed(dailySeed)


     local rows        = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 18
     local rows        = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 36
     local globalStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
     local globalStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
     local showLegend  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"
     local showLegend  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"


     -- PH toggles
     -- PH toggles (cap fixed at 10%)
     local phOn      = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.ph) or "on"):lower() ~= "off"
     local phOn      = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.ph) or "on"):lower() ~= "off"
     local phRateArg  = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.phrate) or 0.10 -- soft bias
     local phRateArg  = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.phrate) or 0.10
     if phRateArg < 0 then phRateArg = 0 end
     if phRateArg < 0 then phRateArg = 0 end
     if phRateArg > 0.10 then phRateArg = 0.10 end
     if phRateArg > 0.10 then phRateArg = 0.10 end
     local showPHLeg  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showphlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"
     local showPHLeg  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showphlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"


    -- Hard cap: <= 10%
     local phCap = math.floor(rows * 0.10)
     local phCap = math.floor(rows * 0.10)


     -- Pass 1: build row objects and PH candidates (deterministic)
     -- Pass 1: compose rows and score PH
     local rowObjs = {}
     local rowObjs = {}
     for i = 1, rows do
     for i = 1, rows do
        -- deterministic per-row sampling
         math.randomseed(dailySeed + i*97)
         math.randomseed(dailySeed + i*97)


         local sector  = pick(sectors)
         local sector  = pick(sectors)
         local flag    = pickWeighted(flags)
 
         local vessel  = pick(vessels)
        -- NEW: sector-aware picks
         local flag    = pickWeightedFiltered(flags, function(f)
            return flagAllowedInSector(sector, f.name)
        end)
         local vessel  = pickFiltered(vessels, function(v)
            return vesselAllowedInSector(sector, v)
        end)
 
         local cargo  = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
         local cargo  = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
         local tag    = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
         local tag    = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
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         local flagStage = getFlagStage(flag.name, globalStage)
         local flagStage = getFlagStage(flag.name, globalStage)


        -- Enforcement baseline (as before)
         local function baseProb()
         local function baseProb()
             local q = 0.28
             local q = 0.20
             if flag.risky then q = q + 0.06 end
             if flag.risky then q = q + 0.05 end
             if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
             if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
             q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
             q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
             if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.03 end
             if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.12 end
             q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
             q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
             q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
             q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
             if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.06, 0.10) end
             if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.08, 0.08) end


             local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
             local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
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         end
         end


        -- riskPush for transparency & later
         local riskPush = 0
         local riskPush = 0
         if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
         if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
Line 374: Line 437:
         if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end
         if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end


        -- PH candidate scoring
         local score, phCode, phText = phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
         local score, phCode, phText = phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
        -- nudge by phrate (tiny bias), still bounded by later cap
         score = score + phRateArg * 0.5
         score = score + phRateArg * 0.5


Line 387: Line 448:
     end
     end


     -- Select top K PH rows (cap <= 10%)
     -- Select top K PH rows
     if phOn and phCap > 0 then
     if phOn and phCap > 0 then
         table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.phScore > b.phScore end)
         table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.phScore > b.phScore end)
Line 399: Line 460:
             end
             end
         end
         end
         table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.i < b.i end) -- restore original order
         table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.i < b.i end)
     else
     else
         for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do r.phApplied = false end
         for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do r.phApplied = false end
     end
     end


     -- Pass 2: render
     -- Pass 2: render (no Notes column)
     local out = {}
     local out = {}
     table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
     table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
     if phOn then
     if phOn then
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! PH Case !! Public Health Advisory !! Triggers !! Notes")
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! PH Case !! Public Health Advisory !! Triggers")
     else
     else
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers !! Notes")
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers")
     end
     end


Line 416: Line 477:
         math.randomseed(dailySeed + r.i*131)
         math.randomseed(dailySeed + r.i*131)


         local action, legal, outcome, notes, appealCol
         local action, legal, outcome, appealCol
         local dname, dkind
         local dname, dkind


         if r.phApplied then
         if r.phApplied then
            -- Override: Public Health interdiction replaces normal action
             action  = "Public health interdiction ("..r.phCode..")"
             action  = "Public health interdiction ("..r.phCode..")"
             legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, true)
             legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, true)
             outcome = "Public health hold; extended review"
             outcome = "Public health hold; extended review"
             appealCol = "SAC Referral — health safeguards (Annex D)"
             appealCol = "SAC Referral — health safeguards (Annex D)"
            -- concise context in notes; if WL-eligible, note deferment
            local wlNote = r.wlEligible and " | WL transit deferred for health clearance" or ""
            notes = string.format("PH measures: %s%s", r.phText or "n/a", wlNote)
         else
         else
             if r.wlEligible then
             if r.wlEligible then
Line 433: Line 490:
                 action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
                 action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
                 legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, true, r.wl03note, false)
                 legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, true, r.wl03note, false)
                notes  = string.format(
                    "WL %s (%s) | window %s | District: %s [%s] | Observer: %s | %s | Cargo: %s [%s]; Partner: %s | WL-03: %s",
                    r.corridor.code, r.corridor.name, r.corridor.win, dname, dkind, (r.obs or "n/a"),
                    hceRef(getPSSCDate(), r.corridor), r.cargo.name, r.tag.name, r.partner.code, r.wl03note
                )
             else
             else
                 action = (r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or r.wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
                 action = (r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or r.wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
Line 443: Line 495:
                         or  "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
                         or  "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
                 legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, false)
                 legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, false)
                local advisory = ""
                local isIF = r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
                local isMT = r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
                if (isIF or isMT) and r.flagStage >= 1 then
                    advisory = " | Audit emphasis (Stage I)"
                    if r.flagStage >= 2 then advisory = advisory .. " | Market surcharge advisory (Stage II)" end
                end
                local mAmber = (r.flag.name:match("Matamoros") and r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)") and " | Risk tag: M-AMBER" or ""
                notes  = string.format("Cargo: %s [%s]; Partner: %s | WL-03: %s%s%s",
                                      r.cargo.name, r.tag.name, r.partner.code, r.wl03note, mAmber, advisory)
             end
             end


            -- Normal enforcement result (PH rows skip this path)
             local enforce = r.enforceProb
             local enforce = r.enforceProb
             if math.random() > enforce then
             if math.random() > enforce then
Line 483: Line 523:
         end
         end


        -- IDs and transparency
         local caseId   = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i)
         local caseId = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i)
         local phCaseId = "—"
         local phCaseId = "—"
         local phText = "No concern"
         local phText   = "No concern"
         if phOn and r.phApplied then
         if phOn and r.phApplied then
             phCaseId = string.format("PH-CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i, r.phCode or "PH")
             phCaseId = string.format("PH-CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i, r.phCode or "PH")
Line 493: Line 532:
         local triggers = buildTriggers(r.flag, r.sector, r.cargo, r.tag, r.partner, r.wlEligible, r.wl03note, r.riskPush, r.flagStage)
         local triggers = buildTriggers(r.flag, r.sector, r.cargo, r.tag, r.partner, r.wlEligible, r.wl03note, r.riskPush, r.flagStage)


        -- Append appeals case if reviewable
         if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
         if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
             appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
             appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
Line 499: Line 537:
         end
         end


        -- Row color (PH rows always red)
         local style
         local style
         if r.phApplied then
        local o = outcome:lower()
         if r.phApplied or o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or o:match("extended regulatory review") then
             style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
             style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
        elseif o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"'
         else
         else
             local o = outcome:lower()
             style = ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"'
            local n = (notes or ""):lower()
            if o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or n:match("extended regulatory review") then
                style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
            elseif o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation")
              or n:match("wl%-ineligible") or n:match("risk tag: m%-amber") or n:match("surcharge advisory") then
                style = ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"'
            else
                style = ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"'
            end
         end
         end


Line 519: Line 550:
         if phOn then
         if phOn then
             table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
             table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                 dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, phCaseId, phText, triggers, notes))
                 dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, phCaseId, phText, triggers))
         else
         else
             table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
             table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                 dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers, notes))
                 dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers))
         end
         end
     end
     end
Line 536: Line 567:
         table.insert(out, "</div>")
         table.insert(out, "</div>")
     end
     end
     if showPHLeg and phOn then
     if phOn then
         table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.3em; font-size:90%;'>")
         table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.3em; font-size:90%;'><b>Public Health Advisory Codes:</b> ")
        table.insert(out, "<b>Public Health Advisory Codes:</b> ")
         local parts = {}
         local parts = {}
         for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do
         for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do

Latest revision as of 14:03, 13 October 2025

Documentation for this module may be created at Module:StraitsDaily/doc

-- Module: StraitsDaily
-- Purpose: Daily, in-world report of Strait of Haifa enforcement [[Straits Conventions of 52.06 PSSC]]

local p = {}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (A) PSSC DATE
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function getPSSCDate()
    local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
    local secondsInDay  = 86400
    local daysPerYear   = 183
    local now           = os.time()
    local totalDays     = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)

    local yearFraction  = totalDays / daysPerYear
    local psscYear      = math.floor(yearFraction)
    local dayOfYear     = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1

    local month, dayOfMonth
    if dayOfYear <= 61 then
        month = 1; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear
    elseif dayOfYear <= 122 then
        month = 2; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 61
    else
        month = 3; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 122
    end

    local dateString = string.format("%d/%d/%d PSSC", dayOfMonth, month, psscYear)
    return { text = dateString, year = psscYear, dayOfYear = dayOfYear }
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B) STATIC DATA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectors = {
    "Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
    "Archipelago Zone Inbound", "Archipelago Zone Outbound", "Sacred Buffer Approaches",
    "Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS",
    "Northern Sea of Storms","Western Sea of Storms","Southern Sea of Storms",
}

local flags = {
    {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
    {name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
    {name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=false},
    {name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=false},
    {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Corumia", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- South Keltiania", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
    {name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}

}

local vessels = {
    "Handymax bulker","Product tanker","General cargo ship","Container feeder",
    "Ro-Ro ferry","Research craft","Declared submarine","Undeclared submarine"
}

local cargoTypes = {
    {name="Medical reagents (dual-use precursors)", weight=3, risk=0.14, dual=true},
    {name="Industrial oxidizers / nitrates (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.16, dual=true},
    {name="Precision machine tools & CNC spares (dual-use)", weight=3, risk=0.15, dual=true},
    {name="Encrypted electronics & comms modules (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.17, dual=true},
    {name="Satellite components / sensors (dual-use)", weight=1, risk=0.18, dual=true},
    {name="Industrial fasteners (coded)", weight=2, risk=0.12, dual=true},
    {name="Hydraulic lubricants (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.13, dual=true},
    {name="High-frequency alloys (coded)", weight=1, risk=0.14, dual=true},
    {name="Aviation fuels & additives", weight=3, risk=0.12, dual=false},
    {name="Refined petroleum products", weight=4, risk=0.08, dual=false},
    {name="Relief supplies (mixed pallets)", weight=5, risk=0.06, dual=false},
    {name="Agricultural commodities", weight=5, risk=0.04, dual=false},
    {name="Finished consumer goods", weight=6, risk=0.03, dual=false}
}

local cargoTags = {
    {name="standard",  weight=6, risk=0.00},
    {name="expedited", weight=3, risk=0.05},
    {name="emergency", weight=2, risk=0.07},
    {name="perishable",weight=2, risk=0.06}
}

local partnerProfiles = {
    {code="P-07", weight=4, risk=0.00, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-12", weight=3, risk=0.03, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-17", weight=3, risk=0.12, recentLift=true},
    {code="P-22", weight=3, risk=0.14, recentLift=true},
    {code="P-31", weight=3, risk=0.05, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-38", weight=2, risk=0.10, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-44", weight=4, risk=0.02, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-53", weight=3, risk=0.04, recentLift=false}
}

-- Corum districts (for WL district annotations)
local corumDistricts = {
    {name="Lyvian Zones",     kind="NZ"},
    {name="Lucinarian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Brentonian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Ossyani Zones",    kind="NZ"},
    {name="Sinclarian Zones", kind="GM"},
    {name="Nortonian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Wallisian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Alindan Zones",    kind="GM"},
    {name="Aijiac Zones",     kind="GM"},
}
local districtKindByName = {}
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end

-- WL corridors (labels/windows)
local wlCorridors = {
    { code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1800 (expanded)", kind="NZ",
      districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
    { code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0800–1900 (expanded)", kind="GM",
      districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
    { code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–2000 (expanded)", kind="Mixed",
      districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
}

local observers = {
    "Neutral temple auditor","Independent port compliance inspector",
    "Community elder (witness)","Straits Convention monitor (civilian)"
}

local wl03Signers = {
    ["Matamoros (IF)"] = true,
    ["Imperial Federation"] = true,
    ["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
    ["Neutral Merchant"] = true,
    ["Moorland"] = true,
    ["Independent Coastal State"] = true
}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B1.5) SECTOR RULES (allow/block flags and/or vessels per sector)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectorRules = {
    ["Northern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
        -- vessels = { allow = { ["Research craft"]=true } }, -- optional example
    },
    ["Western Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
    ["Southern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B2) PUBLIC HEALTH (<=10% rows)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local phDiseases = {
  {name="Thalassan Rot",        code="TR", controls="canal flush; rat-proofing; food-handler checks"},
  {name="Festival Blush",       code="FB", controls="ring vaccination; crowd spacing; dorm rotation"},
  {name="Pilgrim’s Flux",       code="PF", controls="boil notices; cistern audit; ORS distribution"},
  {name="Stygian Dust",         code="SD", controls="respirators; mist carts; guide clinic checks"},
  {name="Haifan Salt-Sickness", code="HS", controls="indoor rotations; antifungal clinics; dehumidify"},
  {name="Norsolyrian Drain",    code="ND", controls="lined ditches; praziquantel; snail abatement"},
  {name="Somniumpolis Lung",    code="SL", controls="dust suppression; respirator fit-checks"},
  {name="Haifan Crimson Fever", code="HCF",controls="larval control; dusk patrols; vector abatement"},
  {name="Strip Yellowing",      code="SY", controls="single-use ladles; vendor relicensing; recall"},
  {name="Eye of Styx",          code="ES", controls="eye-wash stations; visor compliance"},
  {name="Cato’s Curse",         code="CC", controls="PPE audits; solvent/oxidizer exposure controls"},
  {name="White Pestilence",     code="WP", controls="tiered quarantine; convoy assays; cordons"},
  {name="Breath of Nephele",    code="BN", controls="ventilation drills; mask catechism; spacing"},
  {name="Agnian Lockjaw",       code="AL", controls="tetanus boosters; injury clinics"},
}
local phIndex = {}
for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do phIndex[d.code] = d end

local function phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
    local score = 0
    local cname = cargo and cargo.name or ""
    local tname = tag and tag.name or "standard"
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches"
       or sector:find("Strait") or sector:find("Approach") then score = score + 1 end
    if cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable" then score = score + 2 end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then score = score + 1 end
    if cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels") then score = score + 2 end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then score = score + 2 end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then score = score + 1 end
    if flag and flag.risky then score = score + 0.5 end

    local function pick(code)
        local d = phIndex[code]; if not d then return 0,nil,nil end
        return score, d.code, (d.code .. " ("..d.name.."): " .. d.controls)
    end
    if score >= 5 then return pick("WP") end
    if (cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable") then return pick("SY") end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then return pick("PF") end
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector:find("Strait") then return pick("TR") end
    if sector:find("Archipelago Zone") then return pick("HS") end  -- matches Inbound/Outbound
    if (cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels")) then return pick("CC") end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then return pick("FB") end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then return pick("BN") end
    return 0,nil,nil
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) POLICY STAGES (per flag)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local stageMap = {
    ["Imperial Federation"] = 1,
    ["Matamoros (IF)"]      = 1,
}
local function getFlagStage(flagName, globalStage)
    local s = stageMap[flagName]
    if s ~= nil then return s end
    return globalStage or 0
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (D) HELPERS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function pick(list) return list[math.random(#list)] end
local function pickWeighted(list)
    local total = 0
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do total = total + (item.weight or 1) end
    local roll, cumul = math.random(total), 0
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        cumul = cumul + (item.weight or 1)
        if roll <= cumul then return item end
    end
    return list[#list]
end

-- Filter helpers (respect sectorRules; safe fallback if empty)
local function isAllowedByRule(ruleTbl, key)
    if not ruleTbl then return true end
    if ruleTbl.allow then return ruleTbl.allow[key] == true end
    if ruleTbl.block then return ruleTbl.block[key] ~= true end
    return true
end
local function flagAllowedInSector(sector, flagName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.flags, flagName)
end
local function vesselAllowedInSector(sector, vesselName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.vessels, vesselName)
end
local function pickWeightedFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pickWeighted(list) end
    return pickWeighted(filtered)
end
local function pickFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pick(list) end
    return pick(filtered)
end

-- FULL WL expansion switch
local fullWL = true

-- WL eligibility (expanded)
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
    if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end

    local disqualify = false
    if cargo.dual then disqualify = true end
    if flag and flag.name == "Matamoros (IF)" and not wl03Signers["Matamoros (IF)"] then disqualify = true end

    if disqualify then
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
        if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
        return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
    end

    if fullWL then
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
    else
        local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
        local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
        local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]; if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not baseEligible then return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag" end
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
    end
end

local function legalBasis(sector, wl, wl03note, phApplied)
    if phApplied then
        return "Art VII (Public Health Safeguards); Annex D; HCE PH-Bulletin"
    end
    if wl then
        return "Art III.5 (White-Lane); Annex G; Art X.3 (expedited remedies); HCE Circular WL-03 (" .. wl03note .. ")"
    end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
        return "Art III.2.3 (Sacred quiet zones); Annex A (delims); Art VII; Annex D"
    end
    return "Art IV.1–1.2 (PSC); Annex F (SCT/SAC procedures)"
end

local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
    if wl then
        local relief = 0.70
        if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.10 end
        if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.20 end
        local r = math.random()
        local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
                      or (r <= relief)       and "expedited with conditions"
                      or "conditions imposed"
        return string.format("HCE Review → SCT (72h) → SAC (≤5d) — %s (Art X.3; Annex G; WL-03 liaison)", outcome)
    else
        local level = (sector=="Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector=="Environmental Buffer") and "SAC Referral"
                      or ((math.random()<0.5) and "SCT Admin Review" or "PSC reconciliation")
        local outcome = (level=="PSC reconciliation") and "notice acknowledged"
                        or ((math.random()<0.5) and "clearance granted" or "conditions imposed")
        local cite = (level=="SAC Referral") and "Annex F (SAC)" or "Annex F (SCT)"
        return string.format("%s — %s (%s)", level, outcome, cite)
    end
end

local function hceRef(dateInfo, corridor)
    return string.format("HCE-%03d.%03d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, corridor.code)
end

local function pickServedDistrict(corr)
    local dname = corr.districts[math.random(#corr.districts)]
    local kind  = districtKindByName[dname] or "NZ"
    return dname, kind
end

local function buildTriggers(flag, sector, cargo, tag, partner, wlEligible, wl03note, riskPush, flagStage)
    local t = {}
    if flag.risky then table.insert(t, "risky flag") end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
        table.insert(t, "sacred/ecology buffer")
    end
    if cargo and cargo.dual then table.insert(t, "dual-use cargo") end
    if cargo and (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then table.insert(t, "cargo risk ≥0.12") end
    if tag and tag.name ~= "standard" then table.insert(t, "non-standard tag: "..tag.name) end
    if partner and (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then table.insert(t, "partner risk ≥0.09") end
    if wlEligible then table.insert(t, "WL pre-cleared") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 unsigned (M-AMBER)") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 cooldown") end
    if flagStage and flagStage > 0 then table.insert(t, "policy stage "..flagStage) end
    if riskPush and riskPush >= 2 then table.insert(t, "multi-trigger escalation") end
    if #t == 0 then return "none" end
    return table.concat(t, "; ")
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (E) MAIN GENERATION (PH <=10%; no Notes column)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
function p.makeTable(frame)
    local dateInfo = getPSSCDate()
    local dailySeed = dateInfo.year*1000 + dateInfo.dayOfYear
    math.randomseed(dailySeed)

    local rows        = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 36
    local globalStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
    local showLegend  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"

    -- PH toggles (cap fixed at 10%)
    local phOn       = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.ph) or "on"):lower() ~= "off"
    local phRateArg  = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.phrate) or 0.10
    if phRateArg < 0 then phRateArg = 0 end
    if phRateArg > 0.10 then phRateArg = 0.10 end
    local showPHLeg  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showphlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"

    local phCap = math.floor(rows * 0.10)

    -- Pass 1: compose rows and score PH
    local rowObjs = {}
    for i = 1, rows do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + i*97)

        local sector  = pick(sectors)

        -- NEW: sector-aware picks
        local flag    = pickWeightedFiltered(flags, function(f)
            return flagAllowedInSector(sector, f.name)
        end)
        local vessel  = pickFiltered(vessels, function(v)
            return vesselAllowedInSector(sector, v)
        end)

        local cargo   = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
        local tag     = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
        local partner = pickWeighted(partnerProfiles)

        local wlOK, wl03note = wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
        local wlEligible = wlOK
        local corridor = wlEligible and wlCorridors[math.random(#wlCorridors)] or nil
        local obs = wlEligible and observers[math.random(#observers)] or nil
        local flagStage = getFlagStage(flag.name, globalStage)

        local function baseProb()
            local q = 0.20
            if flag.risky then q = q + 0.05 end
            if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
            q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
            if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.12 end
            q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
            q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
            if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.08, 0.08) end

            local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
            local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
            if (isIF or isMT) and not wlEligible then
                if flagStage >= 1 then q = q + 0.04 end
                if flagStage >= 2 then q = q + 0.04 end
            end
            if flag.name:match("Matamoros") and wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then
                q = q + 0.08
            end
            if flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" then
                q = q - 0.18
                if wlEligible then q = q - 0.04 end
                if q < 0.02 then q = 0.02 end
                if q > 0.08 then q = 0.08 end
            end
            return math.min(q, 0.72)
        end

        local riskPush = 0
        if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if cargo.dual or (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if tag.name ~= "standard" then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end

        local score, phCode, phText = phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
        score = score + phRateArg * 0.5

        rowObjs[i] = {
            i=i, sector=sector, flag=flag, vessel=vessel, cargo=cargo, tag=tag, partner=partner,
            wlEligible = wlEligible, wl03note = wl03note, corridor = corridor, obs = obs,
            flagStage = flagStage, enforceProb = baseProb(), riskPush = riskPush,
            phScore = score, phCode = phCode, phText = phText
        }
    end

    -- Select top K PH rows
    if phOn and phCap > 0 then
        table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.phScore > b.phScore end)
        local applied = 0
        for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
            if r.phCode and applied < phCap and r.phScore > 0 then
                r.phApplied = true
                applied = applied + 1
            else
                r.phApplied = false
            end
        end
        table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.i < b.i end)
    else
        for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do r.phApplied = false end
    end

    -- Pass 2: render (no Notes column)
    local out = {}
    table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
    if phOn then
        table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! PH Case !! Public Health Advisory !! Triggers")
    else
        table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers")
    end

    for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + r.i*131)

        local action, legal, outcome, appealCol
        local dname, dkind

        if r.phApplied then
            action  = "Public health interdiction ("..r.phCode..")"
            legal   = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, true)
            outcome = "Public health hold; extended review"
            appealCol = "SAC Referral — health safeguards (Annex D)"
        else
            if r.wlEligible then
                dname, dkind = pickServedDistrict(r.corridor)
                action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, true, r.wl03note, false)
            else
                action = (r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or r.wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
                         and "WL-ineligible: standard PSC applied"
                         or  "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, false)
            end

            local enforce = r.enforceProb
            if math.random() > enforce then
                outcome  = r.wlEligible and "Cleared WL window" or "No reports"
                appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
            else
                outcome = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation check; monitoring" or "Administrative notice issued; monitoring"
                if r.riskPush >= 2 and math.random() < 0.65 then
                    outcome = (r.wlEligible and "WL hold; clearance pending expedited review" or "Random audit hold; clearance pending")
                    if r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation" or r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then
                        outcome = outcome .. " [Extended regulatory review]"
                    end
                end
                local isIF = r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
                local isMT = r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
                if r.flagStage >= 3 and (isIF or isMT) and not r.wlEligible and r.riskPush >= 2 then
                    outcome  = "Denial of passage (policy Stage III)"
                    appealCol = "SCT injunction eligible | Appeals Case pending"
                end
                if r.flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" and outcome:match("hold") then
                    outcome  = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation complete; cleared same window" or "Administrative reconciliation complete; cleared"
                    appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
                end
                appealCol = appealCol or appealsStatus(r.sector, r.wlEligible, r.tag, r.cargo)
            end
        end

        local caseId   = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i)
        local phCaseId = "—"
        local phText   = "No concern"
        if phOn and r.phApplied then
            phCaseId = string.format("PH-CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i, r.phCode or "PH")
            phText   = r.phText or "Public health concern"
        end
        local triggers = buildTriggers(r.flag, r.sector, r.cargo, r.tag, r.partner, r.wlEligible, r.wl03note, r.riskPush, r.flagStage)

        if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
            appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
            appealCol = appealCol .. ("Appeals Case: APP-" .. caseId)
        end

        local style
        local o = outcome:lower()
        if r.phApplied or o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or o:match("extended regulatory review") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
        elseif o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"'
        else
            style = ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"'
        end

        table.insert(out, "|-" .. style)
        if phOn then
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, phCaseId, phText, triggers))
        else
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers))
        end
    end

    table.insert(out, "|}")
    if showLegend then
        table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.5em; font-size:90%;'>")
        table.insert(out, "<b>Legend:</b> ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#d4edda;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #c3e6cb;'>Green</span> = Cleared/Compliant &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#fff3cd;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #ffeeba;'>Yellow</span> = Administrative/Conditional/Monitoring &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#f8d7da;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #f5c6cb;'>Red</span> = Hold/Denial/Extended Review")
        table.insert(out, "<br/><i>Policy Stage (per flag):</i> I = Audit emphasis; II = +Market surcharge advisory; III = limited denial on high-risk, non-WL rows.")
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
    end
    if phOn then
        table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.3em; font-size:90%;'><b>Public Health Advisory Codes:</b> ")
        local parts = {}
        for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do
            table.insert(parts, string.format("<span style='white-space:nowrap;'><b>%s</b> – %s</span>", d.code, d.name))
        end
        table.insert(out, table.concat(parts, " &nbsp; "))
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
    end

    return table.concat(out, "\n")
end

return p