Module:StraitsDaily: Difference between revisions

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Created page with "------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- Module: StraitsDaily -- Purpose: Daily report of Straits Conventions enforcement (Strait of Haifa) -- Focus: Bias scrutiny on Imperial Federation (esp. with "Florian cargo"), -- no explicit Florian vessels shown. -- Guardrails: outcome caps, compliance balance, non-escalatory language. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- local p = {} ---..."
 
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- Module: StraitsDaily
-- Module: StraitsDaily
-- Purpose: Daily report of Straits Conventions enforcement (Strait of Haifa)
-- Purpose: Daily, in-world report of Strait of Haifa enforcement [[Straits Conventions of 52.06 PSSC]]
-- Focus: Bias scrutiny on Imperial Federation (esp. with "Florian cargo"),
--        no explicit Florian vessels shown.
-- Guardrails: outcome caps, compliance balance, non-escalatory language.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


local p = {}
local p = {}


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (A) PSSC DATE FUNCTION
-- (A) PSSC DATE
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function getPSSCDate()
local function getPSSCDate()
     local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
     local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
     local secondsInDay = 86400
     local secondsInDay = 86400
     local daysPerYear = 183
     local daysPerYear   = 183
     local now = os.time()
     local now           = os.time()
     local totalDaysElapsed = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)
     local totalDays    = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)


     local yearFraction = totalDaysElapsed / daysPerYear
     local yearFraction = totalDays / daysPerYear
     local psscYear     = math.floor(yearFraction)
     local psscYear     = math.floor(yearFraction)
     local dayOfYear   = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1
     local dayOfYear     = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1


     local month, dayOfMonth
     local month, dayOfMonth
Line 40: Line 35:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectors = {
local sectors = {
     "Haifa West Inbound","Haifa East Outbound","Mid-Strait Separation Zone",
     "Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
     "Sacred Buffer Approaches","Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS"
     "Archipelago Zone Inbound", "Archipelago Zone Outbound", "Sacred Buffer Approaches",
    "Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS",
    "Northern Sea of Storms","Western Sea of Storms","Southern Sea of Storms",
}
}


-- Flags: IF vessels can be “with Florian cargo” (biased for scrutiny)
local flags = {
local flags = {
     {name="Imperial Federation (with Florian cargo)", weight=5, risky=true},
    {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
     {name="Imperial Federation", weight=4},
    {name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
     {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=3},
     {name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=false},
     {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=2},
    {name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=false},
     {name="Other Coastal State", weight=2}
     {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
     {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Corumia", weight=3, risky=true},
     {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- South Keltiania", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
     {name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}
 
}
}


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}
}


local clauses = {
local cargoTypes = {
     {key="Pilotage & Traffic Scheme", cite="SC §A2–A4"},
     {name="Medical reagents (dual-use precursors)", weight=3, risk=0.14, dual=true},
     {key="Tonnage & Warship Limits", cite="SC §B1–B4"},
    {name="Industrial oxidizers / nitrates (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.16, dual=true},
     {key="Submarine Surface/Declare", cite="SC §C2–C3"},
    {name="Precision machine tools & CNC spares (dual-use)", weight=3, risk=0.15, dual=true},
     {key="Environmental Buffer", cite="SC §D1–D3"},
    {name="Encrypted electronics & comms modules (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.17, dual=true},
     {key="Sacred Site Stand-off", cite="SC §E1–E2"},
    {name="Satellite components / sensors (dual-use)", weight=1, risk=0.18, dual=true},
     {key="Emergency/Leviathan Protocol", cite="SC §L1–L4"},
    {name="Industrial fasteners (coded)", weight=2, risk=0.12, dual=true},
     {key="Right-of-Visit (Suspicion)", cite="SC §R1–R3"}
    {name="Hydraulic lubricants (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.13, dual=true},
    {name="High-frequency alloys (coded)", weight=1, risk=0.14, dual=true},
     {name="Aviation fuels & additives", weight=3, risk=0.12, dual=false},
    {name="Refined petroleum products", weight=4, risk=0.08, dual=false},
    {name="Relief supplies (mixed pallets)", weight=5, risk=0.06, dual=false},
    {name="Agricultural commodities", weight=5, risk=0.04, dual=false},
    {name="Finished consumer goods", weight=6, risk=0.03, dual=false}
}
 
local cargoTags = {
    {name="standard",  weight=6, risk=0.00},
    {name="expedited", weight=3, risk=0.05},
    {name="emergency", weight=2, risk=0.07},
    {name="perishable",weight=2, risk=0.06}
}
 
local partnerProfiles = {
    {code="P-07", weight=4, risk=0.00, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-12", weight=3, risk=0.03, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-17", weight=3, risk=0.12, recentLift=true},
     {code="P-22", weight=3, risk=0.14, recentLift=true},
    {code="P-31", weight=3, risk=0.05, recentLift=false},
     {code="P-38", weight=2, risk=0.10, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-44", weight=4, risk=0.02, recentLift=false},
     {code="P-53", weight=3, risk=0.04, recentLift=false}
}
 
-- Corum districts (for WL district annotations)
local corumDistricts = {
    {name="Lyvian Zones",    kind="NZ"},
    {name="Lucinarian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Brentonian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Ossyani Zones",    kind="NZ"},
    {name="Sinclarian Zones", kind="GM"},
    {name="Nortonian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Wallisian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Alindan Zones",   kind="GM"},
     {name="Aijiac Zones",    kind="GM"},
}
local districtKindByName = {}
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end
 
-- WL corridors (labels/windows)
local wlCorridors = {
    { code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1800 (expanded)", kind="NZ",
      districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
    { code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0800–1900 (expanded)", kind="GM",
      districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
     { code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–2000 (expanded)", kind="Mixed",
      districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
}
}


local actions = {
local observers = {
     {name="Documents & pilotage verification", weight=5, basis="Pilotage & Traffic Scheme"},
     "Neutral temple auditor","Independent port compliance inspector",
    {name="Tonnage/armament declaration check", weight=4, basis="Tonnage & Warship Limits"},
     "Community elder (witness)","Straits Convention monitor (civilian)"
    {name="Environmental reroute order", weight=3, basis="Environmental Buffer"},
     {name="Sacred buffer stand-off adjustment", weight=3, basis="Sacred Site Stand-off"},
    {name="Submarine declare signal issued", weight=2, basis="Submarine Surface/Declare"},
    {name="Right-of-visit boarding (lawful suspicion)", weight=2, basis="Right-of-Visit (Suspicion)"},
    {name="SAR escort under Leviathan Protocol", weight=2, basis="Emergency/Leviathan Protocol"}
}
}


local outcomes = {
local wl03Signers = {
     "Compliant; cleared","Minor non-compliance; corrected; cleared",
     ["Matamoros (IF)"] = true,
     "Rerouted; passage maintained","Inspection completed; cargo intact",
    ["Imperial Federation"] = true,
     "Administrative notice issued; monitoring",
     ["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
     "Escorted to anchorage for formal review","Denied entry pending documents",
     ["Neutral Merchant"] = true,
     "SAR/aid rendered; voyage resumed"
     ["Moorland"] = true,
     ["Independent Coastal State"] = true
}
}


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) UTILITIES
-- (B1.5) SECTOR RULES (allow/block flags and/or vessels per sector)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectorRules = {
    ["Northern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
        -- vessels = { allow = { ["Research craft"]=true } }, -- optional example
    },
    ["Western Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
    ["Southern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
}
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B2) PUBLIC HEALTH (<=10% rows)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local phDiseases = {
  {name="Thalassan Rot",        code="TR", controls="canal flush; rat-proofing; food-handler checks"},
  {name="Festival Blush",      code="FB", controls="ring vaccination; crowd spacing; dorm rotation"},
  {name="Pilgrim’s Flux",      code="PF", controls="boil notices; cistern audit; ORS distribution"},
  {name="Stygian Dust",        code="SD", controls="respirators; mist carts; guide clinic checks"},
  {name="Haifan Salt-Sickness", code="HS", controls="indoor rotations; antifungal clinics; dehumidify"},
  {name="Norsolyrian Drain",    code="ND", controls="lined ditches; praziquantel; snail abatement"},
  {name="Somniumpolis Lung",    code="SL", controls="dust suppression; respirator fit-checks"},
  {name="Haifan Crimson Fever", code="HCF",controls="larval control; dusk patrols; vector abatement"},
  {name="Strip Yellowing",      code="SY", controls="single-use ladles; vendor relicensing; recall"},
  {name="Eye of Styx",          code="ES", controls="eye-wash stations; visor compliance"},
  {name="Cato’s Curse",        code="CC", controls="PPE audits; solvent/oxidizer exposure controls"},
  {name="White Pestilence",    code="WP", controls="tiered quarantine; convoy assays; cordons"},
  {name="Breath of Nephele",    code="BN", controls="ventilation drills; mask catechism; spacing"},
  {name="Agnian Lockjaw",      code="AL", controls="tetanus boosters; injury clinics"},
}
local phIndex = {}
for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do phIndex[d.code] = d end
local function phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
    local score = 0
    local cname = cargo and cargo.name or ""
    local tname = tag and tag.name or "standard"
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches"
      or sector:find("Strait") or sector:find("Approach") then score = score + 1 end
    if cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable" then score = score + 2 end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then score = score + 1 end
    if cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels") then score = score + 2 end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then score = score + 2 end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then score = score + 1 end
    if flag and flag.risky then score = score + 0.5 end
    local function pick(code)
        local d = phIndex[code]; if not d then return 0,nil,nil end
        return score, d.code, (d.code .. " ("..d.name.."): " .. d.controls)
    end
    if score >= 5 then return pick("WP") end
    if (cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable") then return pick("SY") end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then return pick("PF") end
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector:find("Strait") then return pick("TR") end
    if sector:find("Archipelago Zone") then return pick("HS") end  -- matches Inbound/Outbound
    if (cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels")) then return pick("CC") end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then return pick("FB") end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then return pick("BN") end
    return 0,nil,nil
end
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) POLICY STAGES (per flag)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local stageMap = {
    ["Imperial Federation"] = 1,
    ["Matamoros (IF)"]      = 1,
}
local function getFlagStage(flagName, globalStage)
    local s = stageMap[flagName]
    if s ~= nil then return s end
    return globalStage or 0
end
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (D) HELPERS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function pick(list) return list[math.random(#list)] end
local function pickWeighted(list)
local function pickWeighted(list)
     local total=0
     local total = 0
     for _,item in ipairs(list) do total=total+(item.weight or 1) end
     for _, item in ipairs(list) do total = total + (item.weight or 1) end
     local roll,cumul=math.random(total),0
     local roll, cumul = math.random(total), 0
     for _,item in ipairs(list) do
     for _, item in ipairs(list) do
         cumul=cumul+(item.weight or 1)
         cumul = cumul + (item.weight or 1)
         if roll<=cumul then return item end
         if roll <= cumul then return item end
     end
     end
     return list[#list]
     return list[#list]
end
end


local function pick(list) return list[math.random(#list)] end
-- Filter helpers (respect sectorRules; safe fallback if empty)
local function isAllowedByRule(ruleTbl, key)
    if not ruleTbl then return true end
    if ruleTbl.allow then return ruleTbl.allow[key] == true end
    if ruleTbl.block then return ruleTbl.block[key] ~= true end
    return true
end
local function flagAllowedInSector(sector, flagName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.flags, flagName)
end
local function vesselAllowedInSector(sector, vesselName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.vessels, vesselName)
end
local function pickWeightedFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pickWeighted(list) end
    return pickWeighted(filtered)
end
local function pickFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pick(list) end
    return pick(filtered)
end
 
-- FULL WL expansion switch
local fullWL = true
 
-- WL eligibility (expanded)
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
    if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end


local clauseIndex={} for _,c in ipairs(clauses) do clauseIndex[c.key]=c.cite end
    local disqualify = false
    if cargo.dual then disqualify = true end
    if flag and flag.name == "Matamoros (IF)" and not wl03Signers["Matamoros (IF)"] then disqualify = true end


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    if disqualify then
-- (D) PROBABILITY & EVENT GEN
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        if signed == nil then signed = true end
local function enforcementProbability(flag, sector)
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
    local base=0.30
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
    if flag.risky then base=0.50 end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
    if sector=="Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector=="Environmental Buffer" then
        return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
         base=base+0.10
    end
 
    if fullWL then
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
    else
        local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
        local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
        local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]; if signed == nil then signed = true end
         local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not baseEligible then return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag" end
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
     end
     end
    if base>0.65 then base=0.65 end
    return base
end
end


local function makeEvent(dateText, denyCount)
local function legalBasis(sector, wl, wl03note, phApplied)
     local sector=pick(sectors)
     if phApplied then
     local flag=pickWeighted(flags)
        return "Art VII (Public Health Safeguards); Annex D; HCE PH-Bulletin"
     local vessel=pick(vessels)
    end
    if wl then
        return "Art III.5 (White-Lane); Annex G; Art X.3 (expedited remedies); HCE Circular WL-03 (" .. wl03note .. ")"
     end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
        return "Art III.2.3 (Sacred quiet zones); Annex A (delims); Art VII; Annex D"
    end
     return "Art IV.1–1.2 (PSC); Annex F (SCT/SAC procedures)"
end


     local prob=enforcementProbability(flag,sector)
local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
    if math.random()>prob then
     if wl then
         return {date=dateText,sector=sector,vessel=vessel.." ("..flag.name..")",
        local relief = 0.70
            action="Routine transit",legal="N/A",outcome="No reports",notes="Compliant passage"}
        if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.10 end
        if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.20 end
        local r = math.random()
        local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
                      or (r <= relief)      and "expedited with conditions"
                      or "conditions imposed"
         return string.format("HCE Review → SCT (72h) → SAC (≤5d) — %s (Art X.3; Annex G; WL-03 liaison)", outcome)
    else
        local level = (sector=="Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector=="Environmental Buffer") and "SAC Referral"
                      or ((math.random()<0.5) and "SCT Admin Review" or "PSC reconciliation")
        local outcome = (level=="PSC reconciliation") and "notice acknowledged"
                        or ((math.random()<0.5) and "clearance granted" or "conditions imposed")
        local cite = (level=="SAC Referral") and "Annex F (SAC)" or "Annex F (SCT)"
        return string.format("%s — %s (%s)", level, outcome, cite)
     end
     end
end


    local act=pickWeighted(actions)
local function hceRef(dateInfo, corridor)
     local cite=clauseIndex[act.basis] or "SC §—"
     return string.format("HCE-%03d.%03d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, corridor.code)
    local outcome=pick(outcomes)
end


     -- Guardrail: cap denied/anchorage outcomes
local function pickServedDistrict(corr)
     if (outcome=="Denied entry pending documents" or outcome=="Escorted to anchorage for formal review")
    local dname = corr.districts[math.random(#corr.districts)]
        and denyCount>=3 then
    local kind  = districtKindByName[dname] or "NZ"
         outcome="Administrative notice issued; monitoring"
    return dname, kind
end
 
local function buildTriggers(flag, sector, cargo, tag, partner, wlEligible, wl03note, riskPush, flagStage)
     local t = {}
     if flag.risky then table.insert(t, "risky flag") end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
         table.insert(t, "sacred/ecology buffer")
     end
     end
 
    if cargo and cargo.dual then table.insert(t, "dual-use cargo") end
     return {date=dateText,sector=sector,vessel=vessel.." ("..flag.name..")",
     if cargo and (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then table.insert(t, "cargo risk ≥0.12") end
        action=act.name,legal=act.basis.." — "..cite,outcome=outcome,notes="—"}
    if tag and tag.name ~= "standard" then table.insert(t, "non-standard tag: "..tag.name) end
    if partner and (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then table.insert(t, "partner risk ≥0.09") end
    if wlEligible then table.insert(t, "WL pre-cleared") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 unsigned (M-AMBER)") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 cooldown") end
    if flagStage and flagStage > 0 then table.insert(t, "policy stage "..flagStage) end
    if riskPush and riskPush >= 2 then table.insert(t, "multi-trigger escalation") end
    if #t == 0 then return "none" end
    return table.concat(t, "; ")
end
end


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (E) PUBLIC FUNCTION
-- (E) MAIN GENERATION (PH <=10%; no Notes column)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
function p.makeTable(frame)
function p.makeTable(frame)
     local dateInfo=getPSSCDate()
     local dateInfo = getPSSCDate()
     math.randomseed(dateInfo.year*1000+dateInfo.dayOfYear)
     local dailySeed = dateInfo.year*1000 + dateInfo.dayOfYear
    math.randomseed(dailySeed)
 
    local rows        = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 36
    local globalStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
    local showLegend  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"
 
    -- PH toggles (cap fixed at 10%)
    local phOn      = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.ph) or "on"):lower() ~= "off"
    local phRateArg  = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.phrate) or 0.10
    if phRateArg < 0 then phRateArg = 0 end
    if phRateArg > 0.10 then phRateArg = 0.10 end
    local showPHLeg  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showphlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"
 
    local phCap = math.floor(rows * 0.10)
 
    -- Pass 1: compose rows and score PH
    local rowObjs = {}
    for i = 1, rows do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + i*97)
 
        local sector  = pick(sectors)
 
        -- NEW: sector-aware picks
        local flag    = pickWeightedFiltered(flags, function(f)
            return flagAllowedInSector(sector, f.name)
        end)
        local vessel  = pickFiltered(vessels, function(v)
            return vesselAllowedInSector(sector, v)
        end)
 
        local cargo  = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
        local tag    = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
        local partner = pickWeighted(partnerProfiles)
 
        local wlOK, wl03note = wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
        local wlEligible = wlOK
        local corridor = wlEligible and wlCorridors[math.random(#wlCorridors)] or nil
        local obs = wlEligible and observers[math.random(#observers)] or nil
        local flagStage = getFlagStage(flag.name, globalStage)
 
        local function baseProb()
            local q = 0.20
            if flag.risky then q = q + 0.05 end
            if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
            q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
            if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.12 end
            q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
            q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
            if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.08, 0.08) end
 
            local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
            local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
            if (isIF or isMT) and not wlEligible then
                if flagStage >= 1 then q = q + 0.04 end
                if flagStage >= 2 then q = q + 0.04 end
            end
            if flag.name:match("Matamoros") and wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then
                q = q + 0.08
            end
            if flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" then
                q = q - 0.18
                if wlEligible then q = q - 0.04 end
                if q < 0.02 then q = 0.02 end
                if q > 0.08 then q = 0.08 end
            end
            return math.min(q, 0.72)
        end


    local ROWS=tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 18
        local riskPush = 0
    local out={"{| class=\"wikitable sortable\"","! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Notes"}
        if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if cargo.dual or (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if tag.name ~= "standard" then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end


    local denyCount,totalEnf=0,0
        local score, phCode, phText = phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
    local events={}
        score = score + phRateArg * 0.5
 
        rowObjs[i] = {
            i=i, sector=sector, flag=flag, vessel=vessel, cargo=cargo, tag=tag, partner=partner,
            wlEligible = wlEligible, wl03note = wl03note, corridor = corridor, obs = obs,
            flagStage = flagStage, enforceProb = baseProb(), riskPush = riskPush,
            phScore = score, phCode = phCode, phText = phText
        }
    end


     for i=1,ROWS do
     -- Select top K PH rows
         local ev=makeEvent(dateInfo.text,denyCount)
    if phOn and phCap > 0 then
        if ev.outcome=="Denied entry pending documents" or ev.outcome=="Escorted to anchorage for formal review" then
        table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.phScore > b.phScore end)
             denyCount=denyCount+1
         local applied = 0
        for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
            if r.phCode and applied < phCap and r.phScore > 0 then
                r.phApplied = true
                applied = applied + 1
            else
                r.phApplied = false
             end
         end
         end
         if ev.outcome~="No reports" then totalEnf=totalEnf+1 end
         table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.i < b.i end)
         table.insert(events,ev)
    else
         for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do r.phApplied = false end
     end
     end


     -- Guardrail: if >40% enforcement, downgrade some
     -- Pass 2: render (no Notes column)
     local maxEnf=math.floor(ROWS*0.40)
     local out = {}
     if totalEnf>maxEnf then
    table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
         local reduced=0
     if phOn then
         for _,ev in ipairs(events) do
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! PH Case !! Public Health Advisory !! Triggers")
             if reduced>=totalEnf-maxEnf then break end
    else
             if ev.outcome~="No reports" and ev.outcome~="Compliant; cleared" then
         table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers")
                 ev.outcome="Compliant; cleared"; ev.notes="Auto-downgraded for balance"
    end
                 reduced=reduced+1
 
    for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + r.i*131)
 
        local action, legal, outcome, appealCol
        local dname, dkind
 
        if r.phApplied then
            action  = "Public health interdiction ("..r.phCode..")"
            legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, true)
            outcome = "Public health hold; extended review"
            appealCol = "SAC Referral — health safeguards (Annex D)"
        else
             if r.wlEligible then
                dname, dkind = pickServedDistrict(r.corridor)
                action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, true, r.wl03note, false)
            else
                action = (r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or r.wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
                        and "WL-ineligible: standard PSC applied"
                        or  "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, false)
            end
 
            local enforce = r.enforceProb
             if math.random() > enforce then
                outcome = r.wlEligible and "Cleared WL window" or "No reports"
                appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
            else
                outcome = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation check; monitoring" or "Administrative notice issued; monitoring"
                if r.riskPush >= 2 and math.random() < 0.65 then
                    outcome = (r.wlEligible and "WL hold; clearance pending expedited review" or "Random audit hold; clearance pending")
                    if r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation" or r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then
                        outcome = outcome .. " [Extended regulatory review]"
                    end
                end
                local isIF = r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
                local isMT = r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
                if r.flagStage >= 3 and (isIF or isMT) and not r.wlEligible and r.riskPush >= 2 then
                    outcome  = "Denial of passage (policy Stage III)"
                    appealCol = "SCT injunction eligible | Appeals Case pending"
                 end
                if r.flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" and outcome:match("hold") then
                    outcome  = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation complete; cleared same window" or "Administrative reconciliation complete; cleared"
                    appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
                 end
                appealCol = appealCol or appealsStatus(r.sector, r.wlEligible, r.tag, r.cargo)
             end
             end
        end
        local caseId  = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i)
        local phCaseId = "—"
        local phText  = "No concern"
        if phOn and r.phApplied then
            phCaseId = string.format("PH-CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i, r.phCode or "PH")
            phText  = r.phText or "Public health concern"
        end
        local triggers = buildTriggers(r.flag, r.sector, r.cargo, r.tag, r.partner, r.wlEligible, r.wl03note, r.riskPush, r.flagStage)
        if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
            appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
            appealCol = appealCol .. ("Appeals Case: APP-" .. caseId)
        end
        local style
        local o = outcome:lower()
        if r.phApplied or o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or o:match("extended regulatory review") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
        elseif o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"'
        else
            style = ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"'
        end
        table.insert(out, "|-" .. style)
        if phOn then
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, phCaseId, phText, triggers))
        else
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers))
         end
         end
     end
     end


     for _,ev in ipairs(events) do
     table.insert(out, "|}")
         table.insert(out,"|-")
    if showLegend then
         table.insert(out,"| "..ev.date.." || "..ev.sector.." || "..ev.vessel.." || "..ev.action.." || "..ev.legal.." || "..ev.outcome.." || "..ev.notes)
         table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.5em; font-size:90%;'>")
         table.insert(out, "<b>Legend:</b> ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#d4edda;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #c3e6cb;'>Green</span> = Cleared/Compliant &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#fff3cd;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #ffeeba;'>Yellow</span> = Administrative/Conditional/Monitoring &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#f8d7da;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #f5c6cb;'>Red</span> = Hold/Denial/Extended Review")
        table.insert(out, "<br/><i>Policy Stage (per flag):</i> I = Audit emphasis; II = +Market surcharge advisory; III = limited denial on high-risk, non-WL rows.")
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
    end
    if phOn then
        table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.3em; font-size:90%;'><b>Public Health Advisory Codes:</b> ")
        local parts = {}
        for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do
            table.insert(parts, string.format("<span style='white-space:nowrap;'><b>%s</b> – %s</span>", d.code, d.name))
        end
        table.insert(out, table.concat(parts, " &nbsp; "))
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
     end
     end


    table.insert(out,"|}")
     return table.concat(out, "\n")
    table.insert(out,"<!-- StraitsDaily model v2.1, "..os.date().." -->")
     return table.concat(out,"\n")
end
end


return p
return p

Latest revision as of 14:03, 13 October 2025

Documentation for this module may be created at Module:StraitsDaily/doc

-- Module: StraitsDaily
-- Purpose: Daily, in-world report of Strait of Haifa enforcement [[Straits Conventions of 52.06 PSSC]]

local p = {}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (A) PSSC DATE
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function getPSSCDate()
    local startDate = os.time({year = 1999, month = 8, day = 6})
    local secondsInDay  = 86400
    local daysPerYear   = 183
    local now           = os.time()
    local totalDays     = math.floor((now - startDate) / secondsInDay)

    local yearFraction  = totalDays / daysPerYear
    local psscYear      = math.floor(yearFraction)
    local dayOfYear     = math.floor((yearFraction - psscYear) * daysPerYear) + 1

    local month, dayOfMonth
    if dayOfYear <= 61 then
        month = 1; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear
    elseif dayOfYear <= 122 then
        month = 2; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 61
    else
        month = 3; dayOfMonth = dayOfYear - 122
    end

    local dateString = string.format("%d/%d/%d PSSC", dayOfMonth, month, psscYear)
    return { text = dateString, year = psscYear, dayOfYear = dayOfYear }
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B) STATIC DATA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectors = {
    "Strait South Inbound","Strait South Outbound","Strait North Inbound","Strait North Outbound",
    "Archipelago Zone Inbound", "Archipelago Zone Outbound", "Sacred Buffer Approaches",
    "Environmental Buffer","Northern Approach TSS","Southern Approach TSS",
    "Northern Sea of Storms","Western Sea of Storms","Southern Sea of Storms",
}

local flags = {
    {name="Bassaridian-flag", weight=6, risky=false},
    {name="Moorland", weight=2, risky=false},
    {name="Imperial Federation", weight=5, risky=false},
    {name="Matamoros (IF)", weight=2, risky=false},
    {name="Neutral Merchant", weight=4, risky=false},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Euranidom", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- Corumia", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Diaspora Stakeholders- South Keltiania", weight=3, risky=true},
    {name="Consortium Registry", weight=2, risky=true},
    {name="Independent Coastal State", weight=7, risky=false}

}

local vessels = {
    "Handymax bulker","Product tanker","General cargo ship","Container feeder",
    "Ro-Ro ferry","Research craft","Declared submarine","Undeclared submarine"
}

local cargoTypes = {
    {name="Medical reagents (dual-use precursors)", weight=3, risk=0.14, dual=true},
    {name="Industrial oxidizers / nitrates (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.16, dual=true},
    {name="Precision machine tools & CNC spares (dual-use)", weight=3, risk=0.15, dual=true},
    {name="Encrypted electronics & comms modules (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.17, dual=true},
    {name="Satellite components / sensors (dual-use)", weight=1, risk=0.18, dual=true},
    {name="Industrial fasteners (coded)", weight=2, risk=0.12, dual=true},
    {name="Hydraulic lubricants (dual-use)", weight=2, risk=0.13, dual=true},
    {name="High-frequency alloys (coded)", weight=1, risk=0.14, dual=true},
    {name="Aviation fuels & additives", weight=3, risk=0.12, dual=false},
    {name="Refined petroleum products", weight=4, risk=0.08, dual=false},
    {name="Relief supplies (mixed pallets)", weight=5, risk=0.06, dual=false},
    {name="Agricultural commodities", weight=5, risk=0.04, dual=false},
    {name="Finished consumer goods", weight=6, risk=0.03, dual=false}
}

local cargoTags = {
    {name="standard",  weight=6, risk=0.00},
    {name="expedited", weight=3, risk=0.05},
    {name="emergency", weight=2, risk=0.07},
    {name="perishable",weight=2, risk=0.06}
}

local partnerProfiles = {
    {code="P-07", weight=4, risk=0.00, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-12", weight=3, risk=0.03, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-17", weight=3, risk=0.12, recentLift=true},
    {code="P-22", weight=3, risk=0.14, recentLift=true},
    {code="P-31", weight=3, risk=0.05, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-38", weight=2, risk=0.10, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-44", weight=4, risk=0.02, recentLift=false},
    {code="P-53", weight=3, risk=0.04, recentLift=false}
}

-- Corum districts (for WL district annotations)
local corumDistricts = {
    {name="Lyvian Zones",     kind="NZ"},
    {name="Lucinarian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Brentonian Zones", kind="NZ"},
    {name="Ossyani Zones",    kind="NZ"},
    {name="Sinclarian Zones", kind="GM"},
    {name="Nortonian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Wallisian Zones",  kind="GM"},
    {name="Alindan Zones",    kind="GM"},
    {name="Aijiac Zones",     kind="GM"},
}
local districtKindByName = {}
for _,d in ipairs(corumDistricts) do districtKindByName[d.name] = d.kind end

-- WL corridors (labels/windows)
local wlCorridors = {
    { code="WL-NZ-1", name="New Zimian Humanitarian Belt", win="0700–1800 (expanded)", kind="NZ",
      districts={"Lyvian Zones","Lucinarian Zones","Brentonian Zones","Ossyani Zones"} },
    { code="WL-GM-2", name="Bayen Relief Spur", win="0800–1900 (expanded)", kind="GM",
      districts={"Sinclarian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Wallisian Zones","Alindan Zones","Aijiac Zones"} },
    { code="WL-SEA-3", name="Corum Coastal Shuttle", win="0600–2000 (expanded)", kind="Mixed",
      districts={"Wallisian Zones","Nortonian Zones","Lyvian Zones"} }
}

local observers = {
    "Neutral temple auditor","Independent port compliance inspector",
    "Community elder (witness)","Straits Convention monitor (civilian)"
}

local wl03Signers = {
    ["Matamoros (IF)"] = true,
    ["Imperial Federation"] = true,
    ["Bassaridian-flag"] = true,
    ["Neutral Merchant"] = true,
    ["Moorland"] = true,
    ["Independent Coastal State"] = true
}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B1.5) SECTOR RULES (allow/block flags and/or vessels per sector)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local sectorRules = {
    ["Northern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
        -- vessels = { allow = { ["Research craft"]=true } }, -- optional example
    },
    ["Western Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
    ["Southern Sea of Storms"] = {
        flags = { block = { ["Imperial Federation"]=true, ["Matamoros (IF)"]=true, ["Moorland"]=true } },
    },
}

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (B2) PUBLIC HEALTH (<=10% rows)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local phDiseases = {
  {name="Thalassan Rot",        code="TR", controls="canal flush; rat-proofing; food-handler checks"},
  {name="Festival Blush",       code="FB", controls="ring vaccination; crowd spacing; dorm rotation"},
  {name="Pilgrim’s Flux",       code="PF", controls="boil notices; cistern audit; ORS distribution"},
  {name="Stygian Dust",         code="SD", controls="respirators; mist carts; guide clinic checks"},
  {name="Haifan Salt-Sickness", code="HS", controls="indoor rotations; antifungal clinics; dehumidify"},
  {name="Norsolyrian Drain",    code="ND", controls="lined ditches; praziquantel; snail abatement"},
  {name="Somniumpolis Lung",    code="SL", controls="dust suppression; respirator fit-checks"},
  {name="Haifan Crimson Fever", code="HCF",controls="larval control; dusk patrols; vector abatement"},
  {name="Strip Yellowing",      code="SY", controls="single-use ladles; vendor relicensing; recall"},
  {name="Eye of Styx",          code="ES", controls="eye-wash stations; visor compliance"},
  {name="Cato’s Curse",         code="CC", controls="PPE audits; solvent/oxidizer exposure controls"},
  {name="White Pestilence",     code="WP", controls="tiered quarantine; convoy assays; cordons"},
  {name="Breath of Nephele",    code="BN", controls="ventilation drills; mask catechism; spacing"},
  {name="Agnian Lockjaw",       code="AL", controls="tetanus boosters; injury clinics"},
}
local phIndex = {}
for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do phIndex[d.code] = d end

local function phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
    local score = 0
    local cname = cargo and cargo.name or ""
    local tname = tag and tag.name or "standard"
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches"
       or sector:find("Strait") or sector:find("Approach") then score = score + 1 end
    if cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable" then score = score + 2 end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then score = score + 1 end
    if cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels") then score = score + 2 end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then score = score + 2 end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then score = score + 1 end
    if flag and flag.risky then score = score + 0.5 end

    local function pick(code)
        local d = phIndex[code]; if not d then return 0,nil,nil end
        return score, d.code, (d.code .. " ("..d.name.."): " .. d.controls)
    end
    if score >= 5 then return pick("WP") end
    if (cname == "Agricultural commodities" or tname == "perishable") then return pick("SY") end
    if cname == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" then return pick("PF") end
    if sector == "Environmental Buffer" or sector:find("Strait") then return pick("TR") end
    if sector:find("Archipelago Zone") then return pick("HS") end  -- matches Inbound/Outbound
    if (cname:find("oxidizers") or cname:find("lubricants") or cname:find("petroleum") or cname:find("fuels")) then return pick("CC") end
    if vessel == "Ro-Ro ferry" and (tname == "expedited" or tname == "emergency") then return pick("FB") end
    if (partner and partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then return pick("BN") end
    return 0,nil,nil
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (C) POLICY STAGES (per flag)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local stageMap = {
    ["Imperial Federation"] = 1,
    ["Matamoros (IF)"]      = 1,
}
local function getFlagStage(flagName, globalStage)
    local s = stageMap[flagName]
    if s ~= nil then return s end
    return globalStage or 0
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (D) HELPERS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
local function pick(list) return list[math.random(#list)] end
local function pickWeighted(list)
    local total = 0
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do total = total + (item.weight or 1) end
    local roll, cumul = math.random(total), 0
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        cumul = cumul + (item.weight or 1)
        if roll <= cumul then return item end
    end
    return list[#list]
end

-- Filter helpers (respect sectorRules; safe fallback if empty)
local function isAllowedByRule(ruleTbl, key)
    if not ruleTbl then return true end
    if ruleTbl.allow then return ruleTbl.allow[key] == true end
    if ruleTbl.block then return ruleTbl.block[key] ~= true end
    return true
end
local function flagAllowedInSector(sector, flagName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.flags, flagName)
end
local function vesselAllowedInSector(sector, vesselName)
    local rules = sectorRules[sector]
    return isAllowedByRule(rules and rules.vessels, vesselName)
end
local function pickWeightedFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pickWeighted(list) end
    return pickWeighted(filtered)
end
local function pickFiltered(list, predicate)
    local filtered = {}
    for _, item in ipairs(list) do
        if predicate(item) then table.insert(filtered, item) end
    end
    if #filtered == 0 then return pick(list) end
    return pick(filtered)
end

-- FULL WL expansion switch
local fullWL = true

-- WL eligibility (expanded)
local function wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
    if not cargo or not tag then return false, "n/a" end

    local disqualify = false
    if cargo.dual then disqualify = true end
    if flag and flag.name == "Matamoros (IF)" and not wl03Signers["Matamoros (IF)"] then disqualify = true end

    if disqualify then
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]
        if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
        return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag"
    end

    if fullWL then
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
    else
        local green = (cargo.name == "Relief supplies (mixed pallets)" or cargo.name == "Agricultural commodities")
        local amber = (tag.name == "expedited" or tag.name == "emergency" or tag.name == "perishable")
        local baseEligible = ((green or amber) and not cargo.dual)
        local signed = wl03Signers[flag.name]; if signed == nil then signed = true end
        local cooling = (partner and partner.recentLift) or false
        if not baseEligible then return false, "Not eligible cargo/tag" end
        if not signed then return false, "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" end
        if cooling then return false, "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" end
        return true, "WL-03 compliant"
    end
end

local function legalBasis(sector, wl, wl03note, phApplied)
    if phApplied then
        return "Art VII (Public Health Safeguards); Annex D; HCE PH-Bulletin"
    end
    if wl then
        return "Art III.5 (White-Lane); Annex G; Art X.3 (expedited remedies); HCE Circular WL-03 (" .. wl03note .. ")"
    end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
        return "Art III.2.3 (Sacred quiet zones); Annex A (delims); Art VII; Annex D"
    end
    return "Art IV.1–1.2 (PSC); Annex F (SCT/SAC procedures)"
end

local function appealsStatus(sector, wl, tag, cargo)
    if wl then
        local relief = 0.70
        if tag and (tag.name=="emergency" or tag.name=="perishable") then relief = relief + 0.10 end
        if cargo and cargo.dual then relief = relief - 0.20 end
        local r = math.random()
        local outcome = (r <= relief * 0.6) and "clearance granted"
                      or (r <= relief)       and "expedited with conditions"
                      or "conditions imposed"
        return string.format("HCE Review → SCT (72h) → SAC (≤5d) — %s (Art X.3; Annex G; WL-03 liaison)", outcome)
    else
        local level = (sector=="Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector=="Environmental Buffer") and "SAC Referral"
                      or ((math.random()<0.5) and "SCT Admin Review" or "PSC reconciliation")
        local outcome = (level=="PSC reconciliation") and "notice acknowledged"
                        or ((math.random()<0.5) and "clearance granted" or "conditions imposed")
        local cite = (level=="SAC Referral") and "Annex F (SAC)" or "Annex F (SCT)"
        return string.format("%s — %s (%s)", level, outcome, cite)
    end
end

local function hceRef(dateInfo, corridor)
    return string.format("HCE-%03d.%03d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, corridor.code)
end

local function pickServedDistrict(corr)
    local dname = corr.districts[math.random(#corr.districts)]
    local kind  = districtKindByName[dname] or "NZ"
    return dname, kind
end

local function buildTriggers(flag, sector, cargo, tag, partner, wlEligible, wl03note, riskPush, flagStage)
    local t = {}
    if flag.risky then table.insert(t, "risky flag") end
    if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then
        table.insert(t, "sacred/ecology buffer")
    end
    if cargo and cargo.dual then table.insert(t, "dual-use cargo") end
    if cargo and (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then table.insert(t, "cargo risk ≥0.12") end
    if tag and tag.name ~= "standard" then table.insert(t, "non-standard tag: "..tag.name) end
    if partner and (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then table.insert(t, "partner risk ≥0.09") end
    if wlEligible then table.insert(t, "WL pre-cleared") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 unsigned (M-AMBER)") end
    if wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)" then table.insert(t, "WL-03 cooldown") end
    if flagStage and flagStage > 0 then table.insert(t, "policy stage "..flagStage) end
    if riskPush and riskPush >= 2 then table.insert(t, "multi-trigger escalation") end
    if #t == 0 then return "none" end
    return table.concat(t, "; ")
end

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- (E) MAIN GENERATION (PH <=10%; no Notes column)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
function p.makeTable(frame)
    local dateInfo = getPSSCDate()
    local dailySeed = dateInfo.year*1000 + dateInfo.dayOfYear
    math.randomseed(dailySeed)

    local rows        = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.rows) or 36
    local globalStage = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.policy_stage) or 0
    local showLegend  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"

    -- PH toggles (cap fixed at 10%)
    local phOn       = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.ph) or "on"):lower() ~= "off"
    local phRateArg  = tonumber(frame and frame.args and frame.args.phrate) or 0.10
    if phRateArg < 0 then phRateArg = 0 end
    if phRateArg > 0.10 then phRateArg = 0.10 end
    local showPHLeg  = (frame and frame.args and tostring(frame.args.showphlegend) or "yes"):lower() ~= "no"

    local phCap = math.floor(rows * 0.10)

    -- Pass 1: compose rows and score PH
    local rowObjs = {}
    for i = 1, rows do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + i*97)

        local sector  = pick(sectors)

        -- NEW: sector-aware picks
        local flag    = pickWeightedFiltered(flags, function(f)
            return flagAllowedInSector(sector, f.name)
        end)
        local vessel  = pickFiltered(vessels, function(v)
            return vesselAllowedInSector(sector, v)
        end)

        local cargo   = pickWeighted(cargoTypes)
        local tag     = pickWeighted(cargoTags)
        local partner = pickWeighted(partnerProfiles)

        local wlOK, wl03note = wlEligibility(cargo, tag, flag, partner)
        local wlEligible = wlOK
        local corridor = wlEligible and wlCorridors[math.random(#wlCorridors)] or nil
        local obs = wlEligible and observers[math.random(#observers)] or nil
        local flagStage = getFlagStage(flag.name, globalStage)

        local function baseProb()
            local q = 0.20
            if flag.risky then q = q + 0.05 end
            if sector == "Sacred Buffer Approaches" or sector == "Environmental Buffer" then q = q + 0.08 end
            q = q + (cargo and cargo.risk or 0)
            if cargo and cargo.dual then q = q + 0.12 end
            q = q + (tag and tag.risk or 0)
            q = q + (partner and partner.risk or 0)
            if wlEligible then q = math.max(q - 0.08, 0.08) end

            local isIF = flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
            local isMT = flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
            if (isIF or isMT) and not wlEligible then
                if flagStage >= 1 then q = q + 0.04 end
                if flagStage >= 2 then q = q + 0.04 end
            end
            if flag.name:match("Matamoros") and wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" then
                q = q + 0.08
            end
            if flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" then
                q = q - 0.18
                if wlEligible then q = q - 0.04 end
                if q < 0.02 then q = 0.02 end
                if q > 0.08 then q = 0.08 end
            end
            return math.min(q, 0.72)
        end

        local riskPush = 0
        if flag.name:match("Imperial Federation") or flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if cargo.dual or (cargo.risk or 0) >= 0.12 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if tag.name ~= "standard" then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if (partner.risk or 0) >= 0.09 then riskPush = riskPush + 1 end
        if wlEligible then riskPush = math.max(riskPush - 1, 0) end

        local score, phCode, phText = phScore(sector, flag, vessel, cargo, tag, partner)
        score = score + phRateArg * 0.5

        rowObjs[i] = {
            i=i, sector=sector, flag=flag, vessel=vessel, cargo=cargo, tag=tag, partner=partner,
            wlEligible = wlEligible, wl03note = wl03note, corridor = corridor, obs = obs,
            flagStage = flagStage, enforceProb = baseProb(), riskPush = riskPush,
            phScore = score, phCode = phCode, phText = phText
        }
    end

    -- Select top K PH rows
    if phOn and phCap > 0 then
        table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.phScore > b.phScore end)
        local applied = 0
        for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
            if r.phCode and applied < phCap and r.phScore > 0 then
                r.phApplied = true
                applied = applied + 1
            else
                r.phApplied = false
            end
        end
        table.sort(rowObjs, function(a,b) return a.i < b.i end)
    else
        for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do r.phApplied = false end
    end

    -- Pass 2: render (no Notes column)
    local out = {}
    table.insert(out, "{| class='wikitable sortable'")
    if phOn then
        table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! PH Case !! Public Health Advisory !! Triggers")
    else
        table.insert(out, "! Date !! Sector !! Vessel/Flag !! Action !! Legal Basis !! Outcome !! Appeals/Review (Straits Conventions) !! Case ID !! Triggers")
    end

    for _,r in ipairs(rowObjs) do
        math.randomseed(dailySeed + r.i*131)

        local action, legal, outcome, appealCol
        local dname, dkind

        if r.phApplied then
            action  = "Public health interdiction ("..r.phCode..")"
            legal   = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, true)
            outcome = "Public health hold; extended review"
            appealCol = "SAC Referral — health safeguards (Annex D)"
        else
            if r.wlEligible then
                dname, dkind = pickServedDistrict(r.corridor)
                action = "WL transit / pilotage verification"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, true, r.wl03note, false)
            else
                action = (r.wl03note == "WL-03 not signed (M-AMBER)" or r.wl03note == "WL-03 cooldown (90 days)")
                         and "WL-ineligible: standard PSC applied"
                         or  "Cargo manifest reconciliation audit"
                legal  = legalBasis(r.sector, false, r.wl03note, false)
            end

            local enforce = r.enforceProb
            if math.random() > enforce then
                outcome  = r.wlEligible and "Cleared WL window" or "No reports"
                appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
            else
                outcome = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation check; monitoring" or "Administrative notice issued; monitoring"
                if r.riskPush >= 2 and math.random() < 0.65 then
                    outcome = (r.wlEligible and "WL hold; clearance pending expedited review" or "Random audit hold; clearance pending")
                    if r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation" or r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros") then
                        outcome = outcome .. " [Extended regulatory review]"
                    end
                end
                local isIF = r.flag.name == "Imperial Federation"
                local isMT = r.flag.name:match("^Matamoros")
                if r.flagStage >= 3 and (isIF or isMT) and not r.wlEligible and r.riskPush >= 2 then
                    outcome  = "Denial of passage (policy Stage III)"
                    appealCol = "SCT injunction eligible | Appeals Case pending"
                end
                if r.flag.name == "Bassaridian-flag" and outcome:match("hold") then
                    outcome  = r.wlEligible and "WL reconciliation complete; cleared same window" or "Administrative reconciliation complete; cleared"
                    appealCol = r.wlEligible and "N/A (WL cleared)" or "N/A"
                end
                appealCol = appealCol or appealsStatus(r.sector, r.wlEligible, r.tag, r.cargo)
            end
        end

        local caseId   = string.format("CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i)
        local phCaseId = "—"
        local phText   = "No concern"
        if phOn and r.phApplied then
            phCaseId = string.format("PH-CASE-%03d.%03d-%02d-%s", dateInfo.year, dateInfo.dayOfYear, r.i, r.phCode or "PH")
            phText   = r.phText or "Public health concern"
        end
        local triggers = buildTriggers(r.flag, r.sector, r.cargo, r.tag, r.partner, r.wlEligible, r.wl03note, r.riskPush, r.flagStage)

        if outcome:lower():match("hold") or outcome:lower():match("conditions") or outcome:lower():match("monitoring") or outcome:lower():match("denial") then
            appealCol = (appealCol ~= "N/A" and (appealCol .. " | ")) or ""
            appealCol = appealCol .. ("Appeals Case: APP-" .. caseId)
        end

        local style
        local o = outcome:lower()
        if r.phApplied or o:match("hold") or o:match("denial") or o:match("detention") or o:match("impound") or o:match("extended regulatory review") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#f8d7da;"'
        elseif o:match("administrative notice") or o:match("monitoring") or o:match("conditions") or o:match("reconciliation") then
            style = ' style="background-color:#fff3cd;"'
        else
            style = ' style="background-color:#d4edda;"'
        end

        table.insert(out, "|-" .. style)
        if phOn then
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, phCaseId, phText, triggers))
        else
            table.insert(out, string.format("| %s || %s || %s (%s) || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s || %s",
                dateInfo.text, r.sector, r.vessel, r.flag.name, action, legal, outcome, appealCol, caseId, triggers))
        end
    end

    table.insert(out, "|}")
    if showLegend then
        table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.5em; font-size:90%;'>")
        table.insert(out, "<b>Legend:</b> ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#d4edda;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #c3e6cb;'>Green</span> = Cleared/Compliant &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#fff3cd;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #ffeeba;'>Yellow</span> = Administrative/Conditional/Monitoring &nbsp; ")
        table.insert(out, "<span style='background:#f8d7da;padding:2px 6px;border:1px solid #f5c6cb;'>Red</span> = Hold/Denial/Extended Review")
        table.insert(out, "<br/><i>Policy Stage (per flag):</i> I = Audit emphasis; II = +Market surcharge advisory; III = limited denial on high-risk, non-WL rows.")
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
    end
    if phOn then
        table.insert(out, "\n<div style='margin-top:0.3em; font-size:90%;'><b>Public Health Advisory Codes:</b> ")
        local parts = {}
        for _,d in ipairs(phDiseases) do
            table.insert(parts, string.format("<span style='white-space:nowrap;'><b>%s</b> – %s</span>", d.code, d.name))
        end
        table.insert(out, table.concat(parts, " &nbsp; "))
        table.insert(out, "</div>")
    end

    return table.concat(out, "\n")
end

return p